“Window” or “door” of opportunity: how the expectation of Western weapons affects the front

Russian propaganda is disseminating the thesis that a “window of opportunity” is supposedly open in Ukraine for the occupiers. Like, they need to rush to the front within the next two weeks. However, it’s not worth drawing specific deadlines at all.

The primary effect on the supply of weapons to the Armed Forces of Ukraine has been since the US Congress supported the bill on assistance to Ukraine. This opinion 24 Channel was expressed by military observer from Israel David Sharp, noting that the Ukrainian state could have already changed the limits on the use of ammunition. Note that Joe Biden signed the law on assistance to Ukraine on April 24.

Shells had previously been saved due to the fact that it was not known when the United States would accept assistance.< /p>

“When it became known – it was approved, in a week there would be the first shells, in two weeks there would be more and a lot of things – it was possible to change the approaches. I am sure this happened. This was reflected in situation at the front. They should have started shooting more,” said the military observer.

For example, the Ukrainian army could begin to use weapons that were kept for a “rainy day.” However, now, Sharp noted, one can be sure that part of the American aid is already in Ukraine and is already being used on the battlefield. However, it takes time to achieve maximum effect. In addition, the Ukrainian defenders should get everything they need.

When even 20% more shells are fired onto the battlefield, the effect is undeniable. This is more losses to the enemy, this is less effective counter-battery fire from the enemy, this is less advance on their part or no advance at all,” added David Sharp.

It’s difficult to say exactly when the effect will be fully achieved. However, it is already gaining momentum.Russia had a conditional “window of opportunity” from the beginning of the year. All because then it became clear that the issue of American aid for Ukraine was stuck. The enemy tried to take advantage of this.

“Russia has the initiative at the front at this moment. The main thing is that there is a problematic area in the Ocheretino area, where they broke through and have not yet had time to fully realize the capture potential territory,” noted the military observer.

Now the main task of the Ukrainian command is, thanks to reserves and resources to minimize potential capabilities enemy.

“For Russia, on the contrary, it is important to use this “window” while it exists. I would associate it less with the Ukrainians’ ammunition, but with the fact that that they (the occupiers – Channel 24) managed to advance in this place, unbalance the Ukrainian defense. This is the most important section of the front, which raises big questions,” said David Sharp.