Home » Will there be a new front in the North: ISW assessed the threat of invasion from Belarus

Will there be a new front in the North: ISW assessed the threat of invasion from Belarus

by alex

Belarus continues to provide its territory and airspace to support the Russian invasion, but is unlikely to send its troops across the border with Ukraine .

Belarus allows Russia to use its airspace for launching missile, air and unmanned Shahid-136 strikes on the territory of our state. However, according to ISW, the occupiers are too degraded to reopen the northern front against Ukraine from the territory of Belarus.

What is the role of Belarus in the war with Ukraine

< p>A geolocation video on social media shows Russian military equipment moving through Belarus by rail. These data are consistent with ISW's preliminary assessments that Belarus will continue to participate in the war as an accomplice in the war without the direct participation of Belarusian forces in hostilities.

The Russian armed forces are probably too degraded to reopen the northern front against Ukraine from Belarusian territory in the coming months, the report says.

Pay attention! The Ukrainian General Staff also noted that the armed forces of Belarus are conducting covert mobilization under the guise of exercises. Although they note that the mobilization in Belarus is just an attempt by Lukashenka to demonstrate his support for Putin. Deputy Chairman of the Joint Transitional Cabinet of Belarus Pavel Latushko suggested that the Belarusian military is now standing on the border with Ukraine and waiting for an order. They are already involved in the occupying army.

  • According to the adviser to the head of the Office of the President Alexei Arestovich, Lukashenka will threaten Kyiv, and under certain conditions, he may even throw his military groups into battle.
  • Defense expert Express Ivan Kirichevsky said that now the strategy of the Belarusians is quite clear – to keep a certain number of units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near the northern borders so that they are not involved in operations in the South or East of Ukraine.
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