Home » What will winter change on the eastern front in Ukraine: British intelligence forecast

What will winter change on the eastern front in Ukraine: British intelligence forecast

by alex

With the onset of winter cold, one should not expect significant changes on the front line, in particular in the East of Ukraine.

This assessment was published by the British Ministry of Defense with reference to British intelligence data.

The department noted that over the past week, intense ground battles took place on three sectors of the front:

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  • in the Kupyansk direction in the Lugansk region;
  • around Avdeevka in the Donetsk region;
  • on the left bank of the Dnieper in the Kherson region, where the Ukrainian military created a bridgehead.

At the same time, intelligence officials noted that “neither side has achieved significant progress in any of these areas.”

Russian troops continue to suffer particularly heavy losses in the Avdeevka area. Western officials estimate that Russia is losing between 500 and 1,000 people a day in the battle for the city.

“With the onset of cold winter weather in the East of Ukraine, significant changes on the front line are unlikely to be expected in the near future,” the intelligence agency noted.

The department, citing “eyewitness reports,” notes that small drones and artillery (especially cluster munitions) continue to play an important role in disrupting attacks on both sides.

Creation of a bridgehead in the Kherson region: what is known

On November 17, the Ukrainian Armed Forces Marine Corps confirmed that the Ukrainian military had established a foothold in several bridgeheads on the left bank of the Dnieper River in the Kherson direction. They destroyed more than 1.2 thousand invaders and several hundred pieces of equipment.

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The General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces clarified that one of the main goals of this operation is to push the enemy as far as possible from the right bank in order to protect the civilian population from constant shelling by the Russian Federation.

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