The enemy continues to put pressure on the Bakhmut direction, but it is no longer as strong as it was 2-3 weeks ago. However, the invaders continue to mobilize both in Russia and in the occupied territories.
So the aggressor country can collect a certain number of soldiers. Military expert Pavel Narozhny told Channel 24 about this.
In winter, a counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine may occur
According to the military expert, it could be about 100-130 Russian mobilized, who began training in September. In winter, Russia can throw them to the front both near Bakhmut and Kreminnaya in order to try to recapture the city.
But during the winter we will still see a Ukrainian counter-offensive,” said Narozhny.
He added that warm weather is not conducive to the movement of either Ukrainian or Russian military equipment. And the further situation at the front depends primarily on weather conditions.
“We hold on and prepare that, perhaps, these 100-150 thousand will still come to the Bakhmutskoye or another direction. We are preparing to fight them off,” the military expert emphasized.
Narozhny predicted the situation at the front in the coming months: watch the video
From attacks in Bakhmut to the defense of Lisichansk: what awaits the Russians
Narozhny stressed that the issue of logistics is extremely important in the war. In addition, it should be understood that the military equipment of the occupiers, which is engaged in transportation, is quite heavy and cannot move quickly. This makes it an easy target for artillery.
This means that it will be very difficult for those who are in Kremennaya and further along the chain – Severodonetsk and Lisichansk – to keep the defense. It’s only a matter of time before they run out of all the supplies they have and they need to supply them somehow,” the military expert said.
In his opinion, the tension around Bakhmut will begin to “deflate” over the next 2-3 months, and then move on to Lisichansk, Severodonetsk and Kremennaya. The Russians will not have to attack in Bakhmut, but to defend themselves in Lisichansk.
What to Expect in the South
Recently, in the south of Ukraine, the attacks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the objects of the Russian occupiers have become more frequent. According to military observer Denis Popovich, this is similar to preparing the Ukrainian defenders for an offensive. After all, we observed a similar development of events before the liberation of Kherson, when the Armed Forces of Ukraine attacked the targets of the invaders.
Now the concentration of such efforts is taking place on the left bank of the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions. In particular, Berdyansk, Tokmak and Melitopol often “sound”. Thus, the objects of the occupiers in these cities are constantly experiencing rocket attacks from the Ukrainian army.
“If we compare it with the Kherson region, then it is quite possible that this is preparation for possible offensive actions,” the military observer noted.
