Chernik on the counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine/Collage of Channel 24
For a counteroffensive, the Armed Forces of Ukraine need to have fairly heavy weapons. However, here you should also choose the right tactics, because the enemy prevails in manpower and weapons. Therefore, the counter-offensive must advance gradually.
Military expert Petr Chernik told Channel 24 about this. In his opinion, the counter-offensive will take place no sooner than at the end of August.
The expert says that one can talk a lot about this, but somewhere in this period of time a sufficient number of weapons should appear, to launch cautious counteroffensives .
“I note that they must be careful. Because large counter-offensives require the creation of an advantage of at least 1 to 3. However, do not forget that there are 146 million of them, and we are only 35. Human resources are not commensurate,” he explained.
Petr Chernik is categorically against a Pyrrhic victory (at a very high price).
“Can we knock them out in a few weeks? We can, but we have to “burn” our entire army. This is unacceptable,” he replied.
For if we knock them out, “burned” our army, then in a few years they will have a new one, but we will have problems with this. Therefore, every step must be weighed very seriously. And in my opinion, the tactics of “small steps” are actually strategically correct, the expert said.
experts
- The Armed Forces of Ukraine are gradually recapturing the temporarily occupied territories of Zaporozhye and Kherson regions. However, there is no large-scale counteroffensive yet.
- Rostislav Smirnov, adviser to the head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs, explained that the first large deliveries of heavy weapons are expected in late July – early August. Then the Ukrainian army will begin to arm itself seriously and more confidently launch a counteroffensive.
- Another adviser to the head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs, Viktor Andrusiv, believes that a major counteroffensive will be possible, according to the best forecasts, around September 2022. According to him, the counteroffensive was expected in mid-June, but there have been changes. Like, the Western partners decided to wait with the supply of weapons.
- Major General Dmitry Marchenko stressed that the transition of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to the counteroffensive depends on how quickly the Western partners provide us with the necessary weapons. If deliveries are made in the near future, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be able to launch a counteroffensive by the end of summer.
- Retired Lieutenant General Igor Romanenko also noted that for a large-scale counteroffensive, first of all, even more heavy precision-guided weapons are needed. Then it will be easier to move forward.
