Trump's campaign collapsed, he could be “written off”: what are Harris' chances of winning the election

Advantages and weaknesses of Harris

Executive Director, Renew Democracy Initiative Uriel Epsteinsaid that Vice President Kamala Harris has a number of advantages over Republican candidate Donald Trump. However, there is enough negativity around both that the US election campaign may turn into a search for who is less bad.

On Harris' advantages over Trump can be attributed to the fact that she is significantly younger than the ex-president of the United States: Harris is 59 years old, while Trump is 78. It was the Republicans who regularly raised the topic of age and said that Biden is old enough that he is no longer could be president.

Also an important difference for Harris is that she was a prosecutor in the past. At the same time, Trump was convicted. However, the likely Democratic candidate has a number of shortcomings.

Kamala Harris is very unpopular with Americans today. We all saw what happened in 2020, her campaign was poorly organized. She was changing her brand. Before 2020, her brand was that she was a prosecutor, a senator from California, she was “on the left,” although she was not a progressive. And in 2020, she went closer to the left. People saw it and they think she was insincere,” explained the executive director of the Renew Democracy Initiative.

Epstein named Harris’s advantages and disadvantages: watch the video

Republican campaign destroyed

Now it seems that Trump has a slightly better chance of winning, but he also has problems. In particular, political scientist Vladimir Fesenkonoted that the Republican Party's election campaign was largely built on criticism of Biden's age and physical condition. Now they need to rebuild this strategy.

“After the assassination attempt on Trump, the Democrats' election campaign and strategy were destroyed. Now the Republicans have a similar situation. Kamala Harris is a challenge for them. Democrats have a chance There are just over 100 days before the elections, they will be decisive. Whoever conducts the election campaign better will have a greater chance of winning,” the political scientist emphasized. .

Fesenko about the election campaign in the USA: watch the video

A similar opinion is shared by political strategist Boris Tizenhausen, who noted that now to win the elections the Republicans need to come up with a new strategy. Since Trump will no longer be able to put pressure on the health of the Democratic candidate.

According to him, the Republicans planned to put all the pressure and “beat” on the current president’s health.

Now they need a different strategy, with Kamala This topic will not suit Harris,” the political strategist emphasized.

Trump may be written off “

Head of the Center for Public Analytics “Vezha” Valery Klochok expressed the opinion that due to the replacement of the candidate from The Democratic Party may have a problem with the Republicans and this will be a serious challenge for them.

“Republicans can also replace Trump, because there is little chance that he will win against a young Democratic candidate. Trump is of advanced age, so this will play a key role in this election campaign,” Klochok suggested.

He noted that now in the US elections any young candidate will have an advantage. However, Donald Trump is unlikely to want to withdraw his candidacy.

Harris' chances of winning the battle with Trump

According to polls, the gap in support between Harris and Trump is small – 1%. International affairs expert Maxim Nesvitaylov is convinced that now the vice president has the same chance of defeating Trump as Biden had until the disastrous debate.

At the same time, in his opinion, Trump now looks like the favorite, so Harris, in order to break into the election race and catch up with him, needs to do something extraordinary.

There must be a big story that can excite the electorate and make them fall in love with Harris. Also, this story should beat or at least compare in media terms to the effect that the assassination attempt on Trump had, said the international relations expert.

In addition, according to him, if Joe Biden were to hand over his powers to Kamala Harris now, it would greatly affect her chances of winning the election against Trump.

Russian publicist from the USA Andrey Piontkovsky is also convinced that if Biden were to resign, this would open up new opportunities for the vice president.

” This dramatically strengthens Harris’ chances in the election fight against Trump. The presidency gives her much more tools to make certain political decisions,” the publicist noted.

.Piontkovsky explained how Harris can gain an advantage over Trump: watch the video

Legal analyst Andrei Vigirinsky emphasized that it is not yet possible to say that the vice president will be able to defeat Trump. According to him, we can confidently assume that Harris will compete with Trump, but whether it’s worthy or not will be assessed by the Americans. Given his energy and public speaking, the vice president has a much greater ability to campaign. Therefore, there will be more of it on media platforms.

“We may think that Kamala Harris is the leader who is now defeating Trump. In fact, this is rather something desirable, which is based on a false assumption. Because positive media reviews or blogs do not always reflect the trust rating of a particular candidate,” Vigirinsky noted.

Democrats have “surprises” for Trump

At the same time, Donald Trump is convinced to your victory. Political strategist Boris Tizenhausen explained that the American ex-president has experience in defeating Hillary Clinton. He understands how many points the unsuccessful assassination attempt gave him. However, the Democrats probably also have dirt on Trump.

“Kamala Harris and the political strategists of the Democratic camp can arrange several surprises for Trump. Moreover, there are still court cases, a lot can happen” “As a rule, the most incriminating materials are left closer to the finishing phase of the race. Therefore, everyone can start publishing closer to the elections,” Tiesenhausen said.