Trump is leading in the primaries in one of the states: does this increase his chances of defeating Biden?

Donald Trump won the Iowa Republican caucuses with more than 50% of the vote. So far this cannot be considered a significant argument. We should look at further results.

A member told Channel 24 about this Republican Party Boris Pincus, noting that Iowa is one of the smallest and most conservative states in the United States. They are predominantly farmers, and the local population is extremely conservative.

What to expect from the US elections

As Pincus noted, each US state has its own rules for holding caucuses. For example, in New Hampshire, where the caucuses will be held on January 23, not only registered Republican voters are allowed to vote, but also independent voters.

This can have a big impact on the results. Because Trump will not have such a powerful success in New Hampshire. There are many more or less moderate people among the population who will vote for Nikki Haley. Donors place their hope in her. But if she doesn't dominate New Hampshire, she could experience donor exodus. – Pincus noted.

It is important that never in US history has there been a situation where a president won only thanks to the votes of his party's supporters. Voters from the other party always join in.

Now, according to various sources, if Nikki Haley were the candidate of the Republican Party, she would defeat Joe Biden by about 15%, and perhaps more. Therefore, many people rely on it. The situation with Trump is different. He could beat Biden by 3-4%. Given the blots, this advantage may disappear.

Nikki Haley has an advantage over Biden – somewhere even up to 20%. This is provided that she competed in the elections now. Trump has a 3-5% advantage over Biden. Taking into account all the errors, we can say that Trump has no chance of defeating Biden, says Pincus.

US Elections: briefly

• At the end of 2024, the United States will hold presidential elections. Currently, Republicans are holding caucuses to determine their candidate. The first of them took place in Iowa, where Trump won.
• Trump recently again made a scandalous statement, where he said that he gets along well with Putin. He also promised to quickly resolve the issue of the war in Ukraine.
• Zelensky reacted harshly to such a statement. He emphasized that Trump is very mistaken when he believes that Putin will stop if he is allowed to occupy Ukraine.