Population discontent is gradually brewing in Russia. Primarily due to the huge losses suffered by the Russian army in the war in Ukraine. According to forecasts, by the end of 2024 the total number of deaths could reach 650 thousand occupiers. About this 24 Channelsaid the head of the Vezha Center for Public Analytics, Valery Klochok, noting that Vladimir Putin’s regime may last for some time. It also cannot be ruled out that it will take decades. However, the process of Russians' dissatisfaction with the authorities has already begun.The struggle not only against Ukraine, but also the West< /h2>
At the same time, large losses in the war may not cause public indignation, especially since 2024 in Russia has been declared the year of the family and, accordingly, the confession of traditional values.< /p>
In recent years, the country has pursued a consistent policy against abortion and increasing the birth rate. However, the question is whether the Russian budget is enough to support this program.
“The long-term prospect of increasing the birth rate, raising children in the spirit of defending the homeland, military values, and the need to defend Russia from the Western enemy indicates that the war on the territory of Ukraine is also a struggle for Russia against the entire Western world,” Klochok emphasized.
Interested in seeing stability in Russia shaken
Oligarchs can become another lever of influence to undermine the situation in Russia. They strive to continue cooperation with the whole world, in particular with the European Union, for them it is important to place assets in the EU and the USA. However, under the current sanctions conditions, this is difficult to achieve.
Therefore, the oligarchs may be interested in seeing social stability in Russia shaken, he suggested .
Also, at the end of 2023, in a number of northern regions of Russia, a decision, still formal, by the Kremlin authorities to ban girls from wearing pants to school in cold weather caused serious indignation.
At first glance, this It may seem like a small thing, but about 90 educational institutions have already protested against dress code bans on dressing warmly. Particular indignation arose in Yakutia, the Komi Republic, where frosts are -30 years old.
When social discontent affects everyone in Russia, then it will cause public disturbance. The Putin government is afraid of a scenario that could lead to the division of Russia into parts, emphasized the head of the Tower Center for Public Analytics.
If this scenario is realized, China will also be involved in it . He is interested in spreading his economic expansion in Russia, given the serious economic crisis that China is currently in.
“Therefore, there are many factors in geopolitics aimed at to blow up the stability of Russia,” Valery Klochok is sure.
What is happening in Russia
- The country will hold presidential elections in March 2024. Along with Putin, several candidates are running, but one of them, Katerina Duntsova, who came up with a program to end the war in Ukraine, was not even allowed to participate in the election race. Putin was afraid that she might become a “Russian Tikhanovskaya.”
- At the same time, Russian oligarchs belonging to the circle of “Putin’s friends” became significantly richer in 2023. Their assets grew by $50 billion. The founder of Lukoil, Vagit Alekperov, became the richest – his fortune increased by $9.29 billion.
