On the night of January 29, military installations in Iran were attacked by drones. The situation in the region is becoming more and more tense.
So, even despite the totalitarian regime, there are political forces in the country that are in opposition to the current government, which may be involved in the incident. Political scientist Oleksandr Antonyuk told Channel 24 about this.
“This phase is just the beginning”
The overnight events in Iran should be assessed as a hybrid process. That is, it is possible that both the opposition to Iran and Israel could be behind the incident, which could deliver a preemptive strike on factories producing kamikaze drones.
If we analyze the situation, combine it in a complex, then it is clear that the region is getting hotter than it was before the incident. According to the political scientist, we are on the verge of the Third World War, since conflicts based today on existential principles will not end just like that.
Russia has started this large-scale phase, accordingly, and Iran is interested in its victory in order to dominate this region. He poses a threat not only to Israel, but also to the Saudis. In this case, it is quite clear that this phase is only the beginning,” the political scientist noted.
Antonyuk commented on the explosions in Iran: watch the video
The reason for the “cotton” in Iran
Tehran expects deliveries of Russian Su-35s. However, these fighters are not the main problem. In fact, Israel and our Western partners are interested in Iran not getting an increase in its nuclear program.
In fact, in Russia, not everything is so smooth with aviation, but the issues of the nuclear program and the threat that Iran may pose in the region is a more serious problem. It is in this context that the relevant special operations should be considered,” Antonyuk said.
According to him, Jerusalem is concerned about the transfer of Russian fighter jets to Tehran. However, not as deep as the likely strengthening of the country's nuclear program.
Will the incident affect the provision of missiles by Iran to Russia
Tehran may transfer ballistic missiles to Moscow . According to Kirill Budanov, head of the GUR MO, all the forces involved in this process are doing everything possible to prevent this contract from taking place.
As of today, there are really no ballistic missiles. Statements from Iran regarding the territorial integrity of Ukraine demonstrate that this contract is most likely partially blocked. And then – military operations should complete this matter, – said the political scientist.
He added that most likely, this will not be an open phase of the war, but a hybrid confrontation against the leadership of Iran.
What “cotton” showed in Iran
The overnight events in Iran demonstrated that if this was indeed an attack, then the country's air defense clearly wants to be better. In addition, the incident shows the formation of centers of influence and understanding. Yes, Iran understands that if Russia loses, then questions will arise for it.
“Democratic allies in the world are interested in destabilizing the situation in Iran and removing the terrorist regime of the Islamic Revolution from power, so in this case it is only beginning. In the near future, we may see similar waves of attacks or precedents that will be in this territory,” the political scientist summed up.
What is known about the explosions in Iran
- On the night of January 29, unknown drones attacked a defense complex in Iran Iranian officials said that the country allegedly prevented an attempt by 3 small quadrocopters to attack an ammunition factory in the city of Isfahan.< /li>
- Explosions in Iran were heard in several cities. In particular, in Isfahan, drones attacked one of the centers for the production of ammunition of the country's Ministry of Defense. And a massive fire broke out at an oil refinery in the industrial district of Salimi in the city of Azarshahr.
- The Jerusalem Post reported, citing its own intelligence sources, that the shelling was a phenomenal success. At the same time, they stated that it is not yet known whether the weapons damaged in the attack were part of Tehran's nuclear developments.
- On the night of January 30, explosions were heard again in Iran. According to preliminary data, a massive fire broke out in the city of Mahabad, and an IRGC convoy was hit on the border of Syria and Iraq.
