The situation remains difficult along the entire front line, but the most difficult area is Pokrovskoe, where the General Staff has been recording the largest number of clashes between the Ukrainian Defense Forces and Russian occupation forces in recent days.
According to military expert Alexei Getman, the front line is constantly changing, the enemy is gradually advancing southeast of Pokrovsk, which has already been called a creeping occupation.
It is also quite possible that some settlements will have to be abandoned.
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More details on the changes on the front line over the past week — in the material of Fakty ICTV.
Pokrovskoe and Kurakhovskoe directions
In OSGV Khortitsa reported that the enemy is trying to break through the defense of Pokrovsk, concentrating its forces on the flanks. That is, the occupiers are trying to get as close to the outskirts as possible in order to avoid a direct assault and encircle the city.
— Pokrovskoe was and remains a difficult direction. There was information about the encirclement of Pokrovsk, Kurakhovo and Toretsk, then there were certain misunderstandings with the editors of the DeepState map. And now, for example, regarding Kurakhovo on this map it is presented that there are battles on the western and southern outskirts. And some American studies claim that the city has already been captured, — explains Alexey Getman.
He noted that any such reports, except for the reports of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, may not be accurate, so he advised to trust only official sources.
Referring to official data, the expert recalled that reserves of the 155th Mechanized Brigade, armed with Caesar howitzers and Leopard tanks, have been brought up to strengthen the defense of Pokrovsk, which, in his opinion, gives hope, because tanks are usually used not in defense, but in the offensive.
— It is quite possible that we will carry out some counterattacks there. Not counteroffensives, but counterattacks, — he emphasized.
The Getman also drew attention to another point — this is talk about how everything is supposedly lost there and that they will soon have to retreat.
— I just want to remind you that the defense of the city has been going on for six months, and all this time the enemy has been at about the same distance from Pokrovsk as 6 months ago, — says the expert.
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In general, the enemy continues to press in the eastern direction, and the situation has not changed in a week, except for Pokrovsk, where the occupiers are gradually advancing.
— They want to bypass Pokrovsk from the north and south, to cut off the road that leads to the Dnieper. This is the largest road along which everything is brought to hold the defense. But, obviously, it is not the only one, otherwise there would have been nothing to supply the garrison with for a long time, — he explained and added that you don't have to be a military man to understand that there can't be one supply route.
Having focused separately on the situation around Kurakhovo, Getman said that today there are two pieces of information:
— The first — DeepState map shows that the fighting is taking place on the eastern and southern outskirts of the city. And ISW comments that Kurakhovo is completely under the control of Russian occupiers. The General Staff has not yet officially provided information!
What is happening near Kupyansk
In the Kupyansk direction, the occupiers' assault groups are unsuccessfully trying to improve the tactical situation and expand the bridgehead on the left bank of the Oskol River.
For the enemy, according to Getman's estimates, the main thing is — Kupyansk-Uzlovaya, because it is a railway along which troops can be moved relatively quickly.
— In case of destruction of the railway track, it can be repaired very quickly. Therefore, the railway is an important logistical component, — says the expert.
Here, to achieve their goals, Russian troops use more armored vehicles than infantry, but there is nothing new in this enemy tactic, he adds.
Zaporizhzhya and Kherson directions
According to information from the Southern Defense Forces, in the Gulyai-Polye and Orekhov directions, the enemy is actively conducting reconnaissance and training groups of attack aircraft, but the formation of offensive groups by the occupation army has not been detected.
And near Kherson, the Russian army does not abandon its attempts to capture the islands at the mouth of the Dnieper – Kazatsky and Bolshoy Potemkin. However, these attempts are unsuccessful, the enemy suffers heavy losses and is forced to retreat.
— The occupiers are trying to concentrate their forces, but there are no more than 200 thousand Russian soldiers in the entire southern direction, and this number is not increasing. Even if they have concentrated more somewhere, this means that they have reduced them somewhere, — says Getman.
That is, Russia is simply moving troops along the front line, therefore, according to the expert, the concentration of enemy forces in one place cannot be very large, otherwise it will have to greatly reduce their number in other directions.
— Regarding the Zaporizhzhya and Kherson directions, — they will try to concentrate, move additional forces there and force the Dnieper near Kherson in order to advance forward. Whether they will succeed or not depends on what they will do, how many forces and resources they will concentrate there, how powerful a group it will be, and how many of our troops will be there, in particular infantry, — summed up Alexey Getman.
