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The Estonian Ministry of Defense believes that Russia can restore the military potential of its army in 2-4 years. The Kremlin, indeed, still has reserves with which they could go to the Baltic countries.
This Channel 24 was told by the Lithuanian military expert Aurimas Navis on Channel 24. At the same time, he noted that if the Kremlin decides to do this, it will simply be suicide.
Does Russia have the appropriate reserves
Navis noted that the words of the Estonian Minister of Defense are a strategic message about the need to think more about how to protect the borders of the Baltic countries.
Yes, Russia has potential, more remained. I mean the Western Military District, where the Kremlin regime still has reserves,” he said.
According to a military expert, the Russians keep soldiers there in accordance with their doctrine in order to deter NATO if it attacks.
This is absurd because NATO will never attack. But this is the doctrine,” Navis said.
He expressed doubt that Russian troops could move into the Baltic countries. After all, it would simply be suicide on their part.
Naves assessed the likelihood of a Russian attack on the Baltic countries: watch the video
The regime in Moscow would not have resisted after NATO's response
Navis noted that the Russian Federation may decide to attack the Baltic countries. But the Kremlin should understand what awaits Russia and, above all, the regime in Moscow.
That is, an attack on a NATO country, it doesn’t matter if it’s a provocation or an attack by missiles or by the Ground Forces – this would mean that NATO would give such an answer that the regime would simply not hold out in Moscow,” said the Lithuanian military expert.
In his opinion, in this case, the North Atlantic Alliance would have to accept the Kaliningrad region. This would mean a total failure for Russia.
War in Ukraine: how the Baltic countries react
- Russia is trying to compensate for the losses suffered in the war v. Ukraine, 24 February. Moved its troops away from the borders with the Baltics and Finland.
- The US may move additional troops to the Baltic countries. This is due to the ever-increasing military aggression on the part of Russia.
- At the same time, against the backdrop of a full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine, countries around the world are deciding to restrict the entry of Russians. We are talking about those who leave Russia and Belarus.