There are nuances: what Trump actually plans to do with the war in Ukraine

There are nuances: what Trump actually plans to do with the war in Ukraine Petro Sineoky

The statement by Special Representative for Ukraine and Russia Keith Kellogg that Trump takes into account the experience of failed attempts at peace agreements within the Minsk process is important for both our country and the United States. They are seriously determined to resolve this issue. But, of course, there are nuances.

Political scientist Oleg Saakyan told Channel 24 about this, noting that Trump's plan is now being demonstrated as “virtually ephemeral.” They will continue to maintain strategic uncertainty and will not make unambiguous statements. All in order to preserve “room for maneuver.”

What to expect from Trump

As Saakyan noted, Kellogg was right to recall the failed Minsk agreements. He shows that Trump's team takes into account the concerns of its partners and is ready for serious discussions on how to end the war.

Kellogg also demonstrates that he has studied the experience that Ukraine has already gone through and, in general, has access to specialized analytics. He is ready to take on the problem seriously.

It is important for him to show this both externally, so that everyone takes his visits seriously, and among the Republicans. Because not all Republicans are Trumpists. And not all even among Trumpists are isolationists. Support for Ukraine at the party level remains at about 90% among the Democratic Party and 60% among the Republican Party. Kellogg needs to demonstrate that he is worthy of this position and that he is a serious player, – said Sahakyan.

There is also a struggle for influence and opportunities within Trump's team, who will actually shape the agenda in the key areas for which Trump has taken responsibility.

Of course, there are nuances here. The position of Trump's team regarding an acceptable end to Russia's war against Ukraine does not entirely correspond to the views of our state. And sometimes it barely reaches the level acceptable for Ukraine.

At the same time, the positive news is that with this statement, Kellogg actually emphasized that he does not intend to allow catastrophic scenarios for Ukraine. He understands perfectly well Russia's plan and that negotiations can become a trap. By doing so, they turn the “page” that negotiations are in themselves a great good. There is an understanding that negotiations can be the very continuation of the war with other methods. Today's shelling from Russia once again shows that there is nothing human or sacred there, – Sahakyan emphasized.

Recall that Kellogg recently stated that Trump is taking into account the experience of failed attempts to reach agreements within the framework of Minsk. The priority of the newly elected US president is for the world to be fair, sustainable and safe.