The partial mobilization announced by the Russian dictator Putin raises many questions, because it is completely unclear how it will be organized . One thing is clear – it means hopelessness and the defeat of Russia in the war against Ukraine.
The mobilized need to be provided somehow
About this Channel 24Ivan Stupak, a former employee of the SBU, an expert at the Ukrainian Institute for the Future, said. According to him, even if the Russian military registration and enlistment offices really manage to recruit 300 thousand people, many questions arise, in particular – what will they do with them and how will they be provided?
Stupak explained that there are no military units in Russia responsible for the deployment of the mobilized. That is, thousands of these people must be recruited, put on buses and taken away somewhere. It is not clear where exactly – in military units, in tents, on the street, in some administrative centers? For example, already today, on the third day of mobilization, a video appeared showing the newly mobilized mobilized sleeping on the floor in an unknown place. ammunition. This is another series of questions without solutions.
Of course, recruits will need to be paid for their work, that is, training and participation in the war. It is not known where the funds will be taken and how the salary will be determined.
“Those who fight in Ukraine receive about 200,000 rubles each, which is $3,300. But there are already rumors that the mobilized who go to Ukraine will receive 4 times less. This is a serious difference. fights for 200 thousand and the one who fights for 50 thousand?” Stupak said.
Moreover, in a few weeks in Russia, the next planned conscription should begin. We are talking about 127 thousand people who should be recruited in addition to the 300 thousand who were planned to be mobilized. How the Russians plan to fulfill all these plans is a mystery.
There is a catastrophic lack of people
Despite the fact that the declared figures look like science fiction, Russia has no other choice. To continue participating in the war, she just needs people. However, they cannot openly explain this, instead they continue to lie absurdly. Like, we lost only 6 thousand people, but yes, we need another 300.
In fact, the losses are ten times greater. According to official data alone, since the beginning of the full-scale war, Ukrainian defenders have already destroyed 56,000 invaders. To this figure must be added the wounded, without arms and legs, and cannot return to the war, as well as refuseniks and so-called deserters.
And it turns out that all this group, which was in Ukraine, is no longer combat-ready,” Stupak stated.
Therefore, yes, on the one hand, mobilization is necessary. In addition, apart from increasing the amount of “cannon fodder” at the front, it will not be able to radically affect the situation and position of the Russian army. After all, the “mobiles” that are now being recruited need to be taught something.
Some of them will really try to train, but some will immediately be thrown to the front, into battered and united Russian BTGs, in order to understaff them. That is, they will unite professional military and people with zero training and experience. And this, instead of strengthening the grouping, will make it even less combat-ready than before.
Moreover, to the deterioration in the quality of Russian units, we must add even stronger demoralization. After all, now the front is full of Russian contract soldiers who were waiting for their “7 days before the order” and hoped that with the end of the contract they would say goodbye to Ukraine and calmly go home. However, according to Putin's new decree, all contracts for the duration of the mobilization become indefinite, and no one knows when it ends.
“It gives them even more morale. I don't know how they will cope with this,” Stupak added. Now Russia's problem is not only that there are not enough people. There is already a lack of technology, which at the beginning was very much. Now the occupiers are forced to withdraw old equipment from their reserves, and it is not a fact that it will work.
“They are looking for engines, looking for transmission in the countries of the former USSR, trying to make import substitution, but it does not work,” he explained former SBU officer.
Accordingly, Russia will no longer produce new weapons, will not increase their number, and will not have technological samples, for example, precision munitions or drones.
Mobilization is a step towards Russia's collapse
According to a former SBU officer, Russia's “crunch” was predicted for October-November even earlier, but this happened a little earlier, in September.
This massive stuffing of people suggests that there are no more arguments, there are no more people, the war has already been lost,” he believes.
Stupak explained that if at this stage Putin decides to end the war on any terms and withdraw from Ukraine, he will be able to continue his existence as president of Russia and deal with internal enemies there. But he doesn’t have such a “brake.”
“He has a barn on fire – burn down and the hut.” He is also pushed by his environment. everything,” he emphasized.
The Russian dictator continues to believe this, because he is kept in a certain information bubble. What is worth it is that in the 21st century they bring him printouts from the Internet and come with reports. Based on this, he forms his idea and really believes that everything will work out, you just need to tighten it up a little, scare it with nuclear weapons, and everything will be fine. But this is not so.
Moreover, Putin could not even imagine that such measures as mobilization would have to be applied. Even at the beginning of a full-scale invasion, he promised his people that nothing like this would happen, and believed that Ukraine would fall at his feet in a matter of days.
It is not surprising, because everyone who could, reported to him that in Ukraine they built a powerful intelligence network that works here from the inside, that people are waiting for him and the Russian “liberators” with flowers, you just need to come here.
But everything turned out to be exactly the opposite – the Ukrainian people united in the struggle and enlisted the support of the West and is ready to do anything to keep his freedom and liberate the land.
