Russia's war against Ukraine could continue for at least two more years, and fighting will continue for up to five years.
Some US and Western officials stated this in comments to CNN. Representatives of American and Western intelligence services believe that such a development of events may occur regardless of what happens in US politics in 2024.
When the Ukrainian Armed Forces counter-offensive occurs
A Ukrainian counteroffensive aimed at splitting the Russian army in temporarily occupied Melitopol, Zaporozhye region, will occur no sooner than in two years, the US military representative in Europe predicted.
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He believes that Ukraine or Russia will not be able to make significant gains on the battlefield during 2024 because both sides are too exhausted and have limited resources. According to him, Ukrainian representatives are discussing 2025 as a more realistic date for a counteroffensive.
What is the importance of the support of other countries
Western support for Ukraine will be critical, but cuts in US aid are unlikely to have a major impact, unnamed US intelligence officials say.
However, in the long term, the lack of US support will enable Russia to restore resources, increase arms supplies, and enlist additional help from Iran and North Korea, the report says.
— A halt to U.S. funding could limit Ukraine's ability to launch long-range strikes in Russian-occupied Crimea and the Black Sea. They are supported by Western weapons, including US-provided missile systems, — noted intelligence representatives.
Previously, President Vladimir Zelensky outlined Ukraine’s foreign policy goals for 2024. Among the priorities — working to strengthen defense support for Ukraine. In his opinion, Ukraine will win — we just need more weapons, because no one is going to give up.
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