To launch a large-scale attack on Ukraine, Russia lacks ammunition and troops; it needs significant supplies of weapons from other countries in addition to those it already receives from Iran and North Korea.
A senior NATO official said this at a briefing before the opening of the annual NATO summit.
NATO assessed Russia's capability for a major offensive
According to his assessment, Russia is suffering “very large” losses on the battlefield, trying to hold on to minor territorial gains and not having enough troops and ammunition to conduct a large-scale offensive.
Now watching
— What they have to do is order undermanned, inexperienced units to move into areas to achieve unrealistic goals, — the official said on condition of anonymity.
In his opinion, in order to conduct offensive operations, Russia will have to secure significant supplies of ammunition from other countries, in addition to those it already receives from Iran and the DPRK.
— And Vladimir Putin will have to give the order for a new large-scale mobilization, — he is convinced.
Every month Russia recruits about 30 thousand troops, and this, according to him, allows Putin to cover large losses at the front.
At the same time, he drew attention to the significant improvement in Ukrainian defense, although he admitted that the Ukrainian Armed Forces also suffered significant losses, and it will take some time before Ukraine accumulates the ammunition and personnel necessary to conduct new large-scale offensive operations.
The full-scale war in Ukraine has been going on for 868 days. The situation in the cities can be monitored on the interactive map of military actions in Ukraine and the map of air raids in Ukraine.