Occupiers are trying to advance along the front line in Donetsk and Lugansk regions. However, they do not have the strength to break through.
This is forChannel 24Oleksandr Demchenko, a Donbass Realia journalist, told. He stressed that the Donbass.Realities project learns all the information from the military or from open sources by analyzing messages, not a military expert, but all the information.
“We daily determine the geolocation of videos posted by Russians “We establish where the Russians took a photo or video in order to have an independent idea of the course of hostilities. Indeed, it is an interesting situation that everyone has been talking for a long time about the preparation of another offensive that threatens either Kyiv or other regional centers,” Demchenko said.
Expecting a bigger hit
The journalist noted that it can be assumed in the foreseeable future of several weeks that the events in the north of the Donetsk region, the northwest of the Lugansk region, are probably the Russian offensive that was talked about. According to Demchenko, the question arises why the offensive is not as large-scale as expected.
“The reason is simple. The Russians are suffering losses and have unprepared personnel, a decrease in the number of equipment. In addition, it is obvious that the Russians are afraid of the Ukrainian offensive. For example, in the same southern direction. They have to keep a large number of troops, keep combat-ready units, which are not so there's a lot left,” the journalist explained.
Can't hit hard
Demchenko said that another factor that can characterize what is happening at the front is the huge loss of combat-ready Wagner units. As for the Russian troops, they have shown themselves quite “not bad” in recent months, when they constantly retreated.
The Russian command drove itself into a trap when they it is necessary to conduct an offensive in order to prevent Ukraine from creating and holding reserves and new units for a subsequent offensive in the South. However, the occupiers do not have the strength to launch their attack with all their might, the journalist believes.
The Russians are concentrated on Bakhmut
Demchenko noted that there are other directions in Donbass. For example, the difficult situation in Ugledar, where the Russians are trying to attack. According to Demchenko, Vuhledar has become a defensive line, standing in an open area.
“There, sufficiently combat-ready units of the Marine Corps cannot capture the city for a long time. They will suffer losses. We receive from there almost daily information about the destroyed personnel, armored vehicles,” the journalist said.
According to him, we can conclude that the Russian troops now cannot simultaneously conduct an offensive in several directions. Consequently, they concentrated on one thing – this is Bakhmut and, probably, to the north of it.
“They are trying to conduct an offensive there along the Svatovo-Lysichansk highway. However, even there their forces are not enough for big breakthroughs We see that even if there is a breakthrough in this sector of the front, Russian troops will rely on the next line of defense,” Demchenko added.
