British intelligence shared information about the threat from the Belarusian army – they believe that there is no such threat in the near future. But the fact that Belarus as a country is a threat to Ukraine is a fact.
This channel 24 was told by the military-political observer of the Information Resistance group Alexander Kovalenko. He also noted that while such a character as Lukashenko is in power there, and also while there is a war between Russia and Ukraine, Belarus is fighting on the side of the Russians.
Belarus for the invasion of our territory – at the moment or we do not see it,” says Kovalenko.
According to him, first of all, you should pay attention to the number of the Belarusian army and its deployment . Now we can watch how the Russian invaders send about 9 thousand of their military to the territory of Belarus.
But it is very difficult to call these people military – partially mobilized, the so-called “chmobiks”. They are not professional soldiers, and also – their number does not correspond to the standard equipment of the battalion tactical group, – the specialist adds.
Yes, now information has begun to appear that the Russians, along with the partially mobilized, are being sent to Belarus and ammunition from the Far East. But this amount is not commensurate with the amount of equipment and ammunition that is taken out of the territory of Belarus for Russia.
What is the threat of an offensive from Belarus
- On October 20, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported that the threat of an offensive from Belarus was growing. However, the direction of the offensive may shift to the West of the Belarusian-Ukrainian border. Thus, the enemy may try to cut the main logistical arteries for the supply of weapons and military equipment to Ukraine from partner countries.
- However, Aleksey Arestovich, adviser to the head of the Presidential Office, is convinced that if the invaders go on the offensive from Belarus to the West, that is, to direction of Volyn, it will last about 18 days. Arestovich assured that the Russians were failing.
- In October in Belarus, overturning of Belarusian equipment with a tactical sign deuce in a triangle was noticed. At the same time, the overturning of military equipment of Belarus in the direction of the aggressor country was recorded earlier.
- The command of the Joint Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine believes that the threat from Belarus may increase in the spring. The JFO noted that before the end of the year the enemy will not be able to accumulate enough forces and means for a second offensive, so the situation on the northern borders of our country should remain stable.
