On February 10, Russia launched another massive missile attack on Ukraine. However, the strength of missile attacks from the aggressor country is gradually decreasing.
ThisChannel 24 was told by a former SBU employee and an expert at the Ukrainian Institute for the Future Ivan Stupak. The Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense announced that the Russian missile blitzkrieg had failed.
However, as Stupak noted, the enemy will continue to launch missile strikes against Ukraine.
“Don't expect missiles the Russians will run out completely. They say they will all shoot and tell Vladimir Putin that there is nothing left to launch across Ukraine. This will not happen,” the former SBU officer said.
The Russians cannot restock missiles in the required quantity
He noted that the occupiers cannot produce high-precision missiles in the quantity and as quickly as they need.
In principle, Russia has missiles. But the intensity of rocket attacks will decrease due to the fact that the Russians cannot replenish supplies to the level that they have already fired, Stupak said.
The ex-SBU officer added that the effective work of the Ukrainian air defense is actively contributing to the reduction in the number of missiles in Russia.
“We are increasing the number of air defense and missile defense systems of various types. We now have both Soviet systems and French, Italian, German. And all these systems are interconnected,” Stupak said.
An expert from the Ukrainian Institute for the Future noted that thanks to the skillful work of Ukrainian specialists, all air defense systems operate as part of one system.
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Factors influencing the decrease in Russian shelling
As Stupak noted , there are 3 components that affect the intensity of shelling from the terrorist country.
- Firstly, the Russians also rely on attacks on the territory of Ukraine by Iranian Shaheeds. The invaders even plan to build a plant in Russia where they want to assemble Iranian-made drones. However, according to Stupak, this process requires some time.
- The second factor is related towestern sanctions against Russia. After all, the aggressor country, bypassing the sanctions, uses Western parts to produce high-precision weapons. According to the ex-SBU officer, it is important that European countries do not allow the sale of parts to suspicious companies and individuals.
- Third, the work of counterintelligence in Ukraine is extremely important. Stupak stressed that the occupiers rely heavily on spotters during rocket attacks. In particular, it is with the help of such persons that the Russians try to track the results of their missile launches.
“The SBU catches such people in batches. And it is precisely the absence of a large number of spotters that does not allow the Russians to constantly organize such attacks,” – explained the former SBU officer.
Russia will attack less frequently and with fewer missiles
Stupak is convinced that in the future the enemy will not stop missile attacks on Ukraine. But the number of missiles will decrease during strikes.
The Russians will launch not 100 missiles, but 40-50, or even less. The interval between shelling will also increase, – said the ex-SBU officer.
He suggested that Russia would launch massive rocket attacks more than once a week, as it had before. Stupak believes that the interval between rocket attacks can be up to 2-3 weeks.
Massive rocket attack on Ukraine on February 10: in short
- Russian invaders carried out a massive missile attack on the territory of Ukraine. This is the 14th shelling since autumn 2022.
- Over the past day, Russia has fired 71 missiles at Ukraine, of which 61 were destroyed by air defense forces
- Enemy missiles violated the airspace of neighboring states – we are talking about Moldova and Romania. However, in Romania they deny that Russian missiles flew into the territory of their state.