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After Poland decided to extend the embargo on Ukrainian agricultural products after September 15, the conflict over grain is gaining momentum.
So, on September 18, Ukraine filed claims with the WTO against countries that banned import of Ukrainian agricultural products.
Minister of Economy and Trade of Ukraine Taras Kachka also warned that Ukraine could impose an embargo on tomatoes, onions, cabbage and apples from Poland.
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In turn, Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki threatened that Warsaw would expand the ban on the import of Ukrainian products if Ukraine “escalates the conflict”.
Political scientistOleg Sahakyan in a commentary to Facts, ICTV told whether the grain conflict will affect aid to Ukraine and when to expect a resolution of the dispute.
— Of course, this aggravation will not pass without a trace, but everything will depend on how long it drags on, and what formula will be found to get out of this destructive flywheel of bilateral relations, — he noted.
Currently there are no serious risks for military assistance to Ukraine in the field of security in key issues, since the issue of confrontation with Russia also relates to the strategic interest of Poland.
Sahakyan noted that the current crisis in the Ukrainian-Polish relations are fueled, exploited, and occur in the context of the election campaign in Poland.
— If we talk about the possibility of escalating trade wars, using the factor of Ukrainian citizens of various waves of migration on the territory of Poland, then all this, of course, will go into battle… As you know, to win elections, all methods are considered acceptable, — said the political scientist.
At the same time, the expert predicts that after the parliamentary elections in Poland, which will take place on October 15, the situation will be balanced — the only question is what design and with what result for Ukraine.
— You should not expect that the situation will resolve on its own and return to the state it was before. This will require serious efforts, but there are chances and opportunities for both Ukraine and Poland to emerge from this aggravation stronger, — Sahakyan believes.
So, after the elections we can expect some new initiatives that will take Ukrainian relations to a new, more rational and conscious level of cooperation.
Previously in The Polish government announced a possible reduction in financial support for Ukrainians who fled Russian aggression.
