< IMG Title = "The conflict of Pakistan and India will not develop into a large -scale war — head of the CPD Kovalenko" Width = "632" Height = "356" SRC = "https://cdn.fakty.com.ua/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/24/andrij-kovalenko-632x356.png" class = "Main-Image-thumbnail wp-post-image" Alt = "Andriy Kovalenko" Fetchpriority = "High" sizes = "(max-width: 425px) 300px, 632px" srcset = "https://cdn.fakty.com.ua/wp-content/uploads/2024/24/andrij-kovalenko-632x356.png 632W, https://cdn.fakty.com.ua/wp-content/uploads/2024/24/andrij-kovalenko-300x169.png 300w, https://cdn.fakty.com.ua/wp-cloads/2024/10/24/andrij-kovalenko-200x113.png 200W "decoding =" async "/>< p > against the background of a new wave of shelling and exacerbation between India and Pakistan, the international community is again concerned about the fate of Kashmir.
< p > however, according to Andrei Kovalenko, the head of the center of counteracting misinformation at the National Security and Defense Council, the conflict is unlikely to acquire a full -scale character and remain local. < p > < h2 > conflict of India and Pakistan will not develop into the war< p > according to him, despite the seriousness of the situation, both countries are aware of the risks of direct escalation. They are restrained not only by the presence of nuclear weapons, but also by the interests of the great powers and the need to maintain stability inside their own countries.
are now watching < blockquote >< p > — India and Pakistan — Both nuclear powers. A direct military clash between them can lead to mutual destruction, so it has always been limited, — Kovalenko celebrates.
< h2 > history of confrontation of India and Pakistan
< p > contradictions between India and Pakistan have been drawn since 1947 — time of the section of British India. Then both states declared their claims to the territory of Jammu and Kashmir, which led to three full -scale wars (in 1947, 1965 and 1971) and numerous border clashes. one of the most acute phases — Kargil war of 1999.
< p > the deepest conflict is associated with the legal status of Kashmir. Although India controls most of the region, Pakistan considers it occupied. Since 2019, when India canceled the autonomy of Jammu and Kashmir, the tension has increased even more.
< h2 > geopolitical restrictions and modern trends
< p > key international players — USA, China and UN — They oppose the full -scale war between India and Pakistan, because this jeopardizes regional security and international trade. in the countries themselves there are also no prerequisites for a large -scale collision — The domestic political situation requires stability, and society is tired of conflicts.
< p > as Kovalenko notes, in the 21st century another strategy dominates.
< p > — There is a trend for localizing conflicts — Instead of large -scale intrusions, the parties resort to hybrid operations, limited blows and misinformation campaigns, — He noted.
< p > Recall, the Indian armed forces began an operation called Sindur, during which nine targets were attacked in Pakistan and on the part of Kashmir controlled by it. ~ 60 >
< p >
