The topic of Russia's collapse is gradually becoming less taboo among our partners. However, the collapse of the aggressor country is actually not so realistic.
At the same time, the scenario of an internal political conflict in Russia is the most likely. This opinionChannel 24 was expressed by Yaroslav Bozhko, head of the Doctrine Center for Political Studies.
What awaits Russia after the loss
The analyst noted that confrontation between different camps is possible in Russia. For example, supporters of more “liberal Putinism” and those who support fascist history in Russia, as Alexander Dugin suggests.
This is a much more realistic division than one region of Russia versus another. Relatively speaking, a war between “new whites and new reds” is more realistic, Bozhko said.
In his opinion, the result of losing the war against Ukraine could be a civil war or mass confrontations in Russia. In addition, the aggressor country will be enveloped by a political, economic and information crisis.
Bozhko named a likely scenario for Russia after losing the war: watch the video
“However, this does not immediately raise the question of disintegration, secession (secession, exit of a part from integrity – Channel 24). Most likely, the collapse may be the result of a long turmoil, which in Russia will begin with a loss in the war. After all, for her, losing the war means immediately losing the meaning of existence, “the analyst explained.
He added that today in Russia there are so few mechanisms and processes that are still functioning normally. And after losing, they may not remain at all, and this will be the beginning of unrest.
Tension in the Kremlin is growing
- Russia is restless , they began to consider scenarios for the transit of power. Political scientist Alexander Antonyuk suggested that the Kremlin wants to replace Vladimir Putin with another person.
- Probably, this should be a person with a political background and weight in order to try to keep Russia within those borders at least for some period , which were before February 24 or even 2014.
- Russian opposition politician Gennady Gudkov noted that in almost a year of war in Ukraine, the Russian dictator has changed a lot. Due to the defeat of his army at the front, he is losing credibility among the Russian elites and becoming more dependent on his environment.
- Political strategist Mikhail Sheitelman said that 80% of the environment of the head of the Kremlin want to remove him from power. Moreover, they do not care who to change the dictator to – the main thing is that it is not Putin.
