Dictator Maduro announced the annexation of a region of a neighboring country.
The Great War between Venezuela and Guyana is still unlikely and the conflict will most likely end in disputes on the Internet.
This opinion was expressed by Ilia Kusa, an analyst at the Ukrainian Institute of the Future, reports < strong>RBC-Ukraine.
“I think that now everything depends on the decision of Maduro (President of Venezuela – ed.). Analyzing the situation rationally, I believe that war is unlikely. It is associated with huge risks, especially for Venezuela, which Maduro won’t pull it,” says Kusa.
The expert noted that the Essequibo region, which Venezuela claims, is sparsely populated, and the border between the countries is arbitrary. This area is densely jungled, making it difficult to move around. The region has no transport infrastructure and is inhabited by indigenous peoples more closely related to Venezuela.
“And in principle, effective control of this territory is a very abstract thing, that is, going there with large armies – I don’t see any significant point in this,” the analyst noted.
The expert believes that, most likely, the conflict between the countries will end in disputes on the Internet and President Maduro will announce a “great victory.” Maduro needs this to mobilize his electorate ahead of elections due next year.
“It seems to me that the whole point of what Maduro is doing, any subjective factors aside, is to mobilize the electorate ahead of next year's elections and perhaps put pressure on the US and Guyana in order to knock out the possibility of developing oil fields on the disputed shelf. This is a more realistic goal,” Kusa added.
Recall that it was previously reported that the Venezuelan dictator and friend of Putin, Nicolas Maduro, conducted a survey in the country about encroachments on the territory of neighboring Guyana, where there are large oil reserves. 95% of Venezuelans seem to support the creation of a new state in a foreign country.
In addition, we previously reported that the dictator of Venezuela Nicolas Maduro signed six decrees on the annexation of the Guyana region – Essequibo.
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