Russia's smart move: can the conflict in Venezuela distract the United States from Ukraine

The President of Venezuela wants to annex part of Guyana/Collage 24 Channel

Venezuela is escalating the region around neighboring Guyana. We are talking about the territory of Essequib, which Venezuela wants to annex. It is possible that there is a Russian trace here.

On December 3, a referendum on territorial claims to Guyana was held in Venezuela. 95% of referendum participants supported the annexation of the disputed Essequiba territory to the country. Political scientist Taras Zagorodniy told Channel 24 that this conflict directly concerns the United States.

The situation plays into Russia's hands

Venezuela's claims to the region were renewed recently when oil and gas deposits were discovered there.

< p>In the end, oil production in Guyana is not just bothering Venezuela, but can somewhat balance the oil market against the backdrop of OPEC+ oil production cuts. In this context, there is a connection between Venezuela and Russia, which is suffering from an oil price ceiling.

Several interests coincided. I think this is a good step by Russia – yes, it is an enemy, but it is acting wisely. In particular, the United States viewed Venezuela as an oil reserve that could replace Russia. Now the United States finds itself in a difficult situation,” noted Taras Zagorodniy.

If Venezuela really starts aggression against Guyana, then sanctions will have to be imposed against it as well. Or even introduce a military contingent into its territory.

“It is possible that Venezuela may talk more than do anything, wresting for itself additional preferences from the United States. Because that the Venezuelan army is 50-60 thousand, and the Guyanese army is 12 thousand. Will this lead to a long-term conflict that will have consequences – theoretically yes,” the political scientist noted.

At the same time, in the long term this will not create a big threat or problems for the United States.

Will the conflict turn away the attention of the United States

Contacts between the Russian leadership and Venezuela are no secret to anyone. The Russians even wanted to station strategic bombers there, but the Kremlin’s plans are fast. around the world, especially for the States. Because the war in the Middle East is still not flaring up as Russia would like. – Zagorodniy added.

However, there is no need to worry that the US’s attention from the war in Ukraine may shift to a potential conflict between Venezuela and Ghana. At least because these are not at all proportionate situations. Even in comparison with the Arab-Israeli conflict.

“Yet the Arab-Israeli conflict has been supported for a long time, there are a huge number of Muslim countries supporting it. They have the financial resource for “I think no one will care about Guyana,” the political scientist emphasized.

In the end, the United States has leverage over Venezuela. So, they will probably do everything to solve this problem in its infancy.

The conflict between Venezuela and Ghana: what is needed know

• Venezuela President Nicolas Maduro announced the creation of 24 states in the country. Thus, he actually approved the annexation of the Essequibo region – the western part of Guyana.
• In the region, the Venezuelan government is planning some changes. These include the census, as well as the assignment of Venezuelan citizenship to all residents. This procedure should be simplified.
• Furthermore, the innovations also include the approval of licenses to begin exploration for minerals, oil and gas in Essequibo. This is what is called the main reason for Venezuela’s territorial claims.