In recent days, a possible undermining of the Kakhovskaya HPP has been actively discussed. At the same time, it is not clear what goal the enemy wants to achieve if he decides to carry out such a terrorist attack.
The Institute for the Study of War analyzed data from open sources. The authors of the report tried to explain to whom and why the blowing up of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station could be beneficial.Analysts suggest that the Russian military may indeed try to blow up the dam at the Kakhovskaya HPP. Such an action can help the enemy cover his escape. In addition, this will prevent the Ukrainian military from pursuing the occupiers deep into the Kherson region.
Immediately, the compilers of the report noted that Ukraine is most likely to be blamed for blowing up the hydroelectric power station.It should be noted that Russia regularly reproaches our state, and then itself does what the Armed Forces of Ukraine supposedly should do. This is a habitual practice for them, which we have managed to notice in recent months.
Why undermining is not beneficial for Ukraine
At the same time, the Institute for the Study of War explained what was wrong with a reproach about undermining precisely Ukraine. Analysts emphasize that response action will cause flooding of 80 Ukrainian cities. In addition, an explosion at a hydroelectric power station can cause great damage to electricity supply. Recall that the enemy has seriously damaged 40% of our energy infrastructure.
So this terrorist attack is needed exclusively by Russia. It will allow to cover the Russian army when it retreats. And the expansion of the Dnieper will become another obstacle for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, because it will be necessary to cross to the other side in order to continue the counteroffensive.
Russia continues to pour out absurd statements
Analysts add that statements that Russian the military will not undermine the dam in fear of depriving Crimea of water supply – are absurd. As noted by the reporters, Since the beginning of the annexation, the peninsula has survived without access to the canal flowing from the Dnieper. Therefore, now it is pointless to talk about some possible problems for its inhabitants. Over the years, we have had the opportunity to observe how the invaders supplied Crimea with water, although they did not have access to this canal.
The Russians are trying to maintain the buffer zone
According to analysts, the enemy is trying to hold the east of the Kherson region not because of possible problems with water supply. The primary goal is to create a buffer zone. It should allow the defense of Crimea, as well as prevent Ukrainian artillery from approaching a zone that would allow it to be hit. That is why the undermining of the dam, in the opinion of the military leadership of Russia, can make it possible to preserve the corresponding buffer zone.
What threatens the blowing up of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station
- Note that on October 21, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky made another warning. He stressed that a dam failure could lead to interruption of water supply to most of the South of Ukraine.
- In addition, an explosion at the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station could entail a serious risk for the Zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant. Recall that it is located upstream of the dam.
- Actually, water from the Kakhovka reservoir is used to cool the station's facilities.
- Let's add that the enemy planned to blow up the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station back in April. The relevant information was announced in the GUR MO. At the same time, it should be understood that now the occupiers are mining the locks. So at any moment the threat can transform into a real terrorist attack.
