The enemy's offensive activity is currently at its peak, and the front will be burning for the next three months. The situation may stabilize in November. If the Russians achieve their goals at the front, they will talk about a ceasefire.
Military expert Alexander Musienko stated this on the air of the United News telethon.
The enemy is actively advancing on the front
— The front will be burning for the next three months. The enemy's offensive activity is currently at its peak. There are reserves, but their number is smaller than what was deployed a month ago. The enemy is in an active offensive phase, — the expert noted.
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According to him, the Russians are not achieving success in the Sumy region, while the situation in the east is stabilizing, despite the enemy’s recorded advance.
“I assume that November may stabilize the front. Now the Russian Federation will make maximum efforts, both military and military-political. It is very important for them that the period of waiting for decisions from the US cannot last forever – this window of opportunity will not be eternal,” Musienko added.
He noted that the Israeli-Iranian war is not in our favor because it diverts American resources. Russia will try to take advantage of this opportunity.
“They will be looking for a solution until November to talk about a ceasefire. This will happen if they manage to achieve some goals. Propaganda is one thing, reality and their capabilities are another,” the military man predicts.
Analysis of the situation on the front: Sumy, Donetsk regions and Russian targets
According to the expert, the situation in the Sumy region is reminiscent of May 2024, when the enemy was advancing in the area of Vovchansk and Liptsy, trying to advance to Kharkov. Then the goal was to take the city into semi-encirclement and create a threat to the regional center.
Similar plans were in place in the Sumy region. The enemy planned to advance, also considering the option of attacking to the west in order to get as close as possible and completely cut off logistics.
“This should have created problems for us, allowing enemy drones and artillery to operate actively, and sabotage and reconnaissance groups (DRG) to enter the regional center,” Musienko noted.
However, these plans are falling apart. After a month and a half of rapid enemy advancement, the situation was stabilized.
Now the priority in the offensive for the Russians is the Donetsk region, and for Ukraine in defense – not to let the enemy launch offensive actions. The heaviest battles are now taking place in the Donetsk region, especially in the Pokrovsk and Limansk directions.
The enemy will attack most actively in the Pokrovsk direction, since it is very important for them to show that they are advancing towards the Dnepropetrovsk region. This is a propaganda goal.
In the Liman direction, the enemy is trying to advance in the direction of Konstantinovka. The Russians are considering a scenario where they are trying to wedge into the Ukrainian defense. The goal is to create “pockets” in order to then level the front.
