According to Ukrainian intelligence, Russia may attract another 300,000 to 350,000 troops in Ukraine. Whether they can do it now is almost impossible. But in the future, everything can happen.
This channel 24 was told by military expert Petr Chernik. According to him, this information must be treated responsibly, because Russia can indeed attract such a group in the future. However, there are a lot of different nuances.
The Russians have begun a personnel shortage, but there is still no turning point in the war
Chernik recalled that for a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the occupiers attracted a group of 200,000 troops. In general, the Russian army is about a million people.
In addition, Russia has not canceled military service and twice a year took young men there who received at least the basics of military affairs.
In fact, mastering a Kalashnikov assault rifle, a few grenades and a certain line of grenade launchers, and, accordingly, the simplest artillery and a tank is not such a big task. They still have a certain potential,” Chernik noted.
Despite this, the invaders now have begun a certain personnel shortage. But it is not at such a high point to talk about a strategic turning point in the war.
The Russians are ending their “window of operational opportunities”
As Chernik noted, the Russians have about a month and a half“windows of operational opportunity” when they can still move on land. After that, heavy rains will follow and, most likely, a certain line of demarcation will be fixed.
The military expert is convinced that now the occupiers by no means can additionally attract huge new groupings of troops. This requires a lot of technology, which is not the fact that it is generally available now. However, they are working in this direction
Therefore, Chernik believes that such a Russian invasion is now impossible. But conditionally next fall, this may turn out to be real, although the Armed Forces of Ukraine will destroy a huge number of Russians by that time.
Where did the figure of 300-350 thousand Russian military come from
Recently, a representative of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense Ukraine Vadim Skibitsky said that many units in the Russian army are engaged in the protection of facilities both in Russia and at military bases in other countries. Therefore, in the future, the invaders can attract another 300-350 thousand invaders in the war against Ukraine.
However, with the increase in the death toll, the desire to fight against Ukraine has significantly decreased.
“When the number of dead and wounded servicemen significantly increased among the invaders, there were fewer people in Russia who wanted to conclude a contract for military service,” Skibitsky emphasized.
Here it is worth mentioning the newly created 3rd Army Corps, where the Russians tried drive about 15,000 people since May. In August, units began to be transferred to the front, but they could not be fully staffed.
