Russia is preparing, a military observer speculated whether a multi-year war is possible

Is it ready Russia for a long war/Collage 24 Channel

Russia plans to increase budget spending on war in the new year. Analysts suggest that such a financial scale of the aggressor state indicates preparation for a long war in Ukraine.

In fact, it is difficult to look ahead and make a forecast as to how long the war will last, because this is influenced by a number of factors that can dramatically and radically change the situation. This opinionChannel 24was expressed by military observer from Israel David Sharp.

Russia will remain a rogue country

A multi-year war is probably three years or more. This is too long-term, it’s difficult to look ahead. According to Sharpe, many important events will still happen on the battlefield, in the political sphere, and inside Russia. The more time passes, the greater the likelihood of one or another significant change in Russia.

The rebellion of Yevgeny Prigozhin is a vivid example of such a cataclysm. However, it should be understood that at least in the next 2-3 years, Russia is preparing for war. For the government of the aggressor country there is no other way out, because the way out for it is to stop the war, at least by retreating to the lines before a full-scale invasion, and then it is possible to continue negotiations. – said a military observer from Israel.

However, the Russian usurper Vladimir Putin understands that Russia will still remain a rogue country. Even if sanctions are formally lifted from the dictator, most of them will continue to apply. It is unlikely that private investors who left Russia with great damage will want to return.

Russia will have many problems, but the main one for Putin is that it will be difficult for him to explain such a result: hundreds of thousands of killed and maimed Russians, tens of billions spent, Sharp added.

Russian propaganda can sell a lot to its to the population, but it is almost impossible to sell such a step. For Putin, this is a risk of losing power. The only alternative is the desire for victory, at least for what can be passed off as victory.

What the Russians are trying to show the world: watch the video

Putin curses himself

Russia's fortress reserves will last for at least a couple of years. The aggressor sells a lot of oil and minerals, so in general there is money, despite the fact that it is becoming less and less. Soviet reserves have not been exhausted, although not everything is so clear here.

The Russians understand that Ukraine can hold out, so they are looking for real and imaginary weaknesses of Ukrainian partners. The occupiers are waiting and hoping that the desire to conduct military operations in Ukraine will decrease. And most importantly, they hope that assistance to Ukraine will decrease, noted a military observer from Israel.

The elections in America in 2024 are a landmark date for the Kremlin, after which the Russian leadership will understand more clearly what is going on in the short and long term. can be done in the future.

I have no doubt that Putin is cursing himself for the way he made the decision to invade Ukraine. Having a time machine, the dictator would have abandoned such an idea altogether, or would have done it completely differently, Sharp emphasized.

Now the Russians must demonstrate toughness and intransigence so that the enemy does not see their weaknesses and cracks. Conversations and strategies about a long-term war become more realistic when the situation on the battlefield is relatively stable without major changes.

Russia's plans for a war in Ukraine

< ul>