Russia has far fewer missiles left than it pretends to. In addition, the enemy has problems with aircraft.
Ukrainian intelligence said it was closely monitoring Russia's stockpiles and misses. And also about its nuclear component.
Intelligence estimated the enemy's reserves
- It's hard to remember when Russia last used the Onyx missile “. Previously, these were massive deployments in the Odessa region, but Onyx is an anti-ship missile. Therefore, its effectiveness was low.
- On December 29 last year in Russia, they started talking about the transfer of the Su-57 party to the Aerospace Forces. But the GUR analysis shows that this information is not true. In Russia, for many years the deadlines for putting these aircraft into operation were postponed, and now they are experiencing significant problems with avionics, radar stations, engines, aircraft control systems, and even with spare parts.
- The occupiers also have problems with aircraft- carriers of the MiG-31. An incident that occurred in Belarus is indicative – one of them caught fire.
- There are problems with the arsenal, including drones. At present, the Russians have used approximately 660 Shaheeds. The contract provides for 1750 units. They have already ordered a new batch, but it takes time to deliver and prepare them.
- There are problems with missiles, too. If earlier Russia produced no more than 200 units per year (depending on the type), now, for example, they can produce 4 Iskander missiles per month. If we talk about the X-101, then it could be 20-30 units, but it all depends on the stocks of foreign components, of which there are very few left in Russia
There are not so many “Daggers” in Russia
The Main Intelligence Directorate reported that there are not so many “Daggers” in Russia. If they shoot them too, then there will simply be nothing to frighten the world with.
They now use “daggers” to demonstrate and intimidate that they have such weapons that no one can shoot down . Accordingly, by this they maintain tension in the possibility of using these weapons not only against us, but also against other European countries. – reported in the GUR.
The GUR monitors the “nuclear movements” of the enemy
Ukrainian intelligence assured that it constantly monitors the movement of all carriers and monitors active measures that can be carried out by the 12th Main Directorate of the Russian Ministry of Defense, which is responsible for the preparation and delivery of nuclear charges to weapons .
This is not an easy process, but we have experience in monitoring and reconnaissance of strategic and other exercises specifically of nuclear forces, which have been conducted since 2014. That is, we know all the procedural issues. Therefore, the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine constantly monitors precisely the nuclear component of the Russian armed forces, the report says.
What determines Russia's success at the front
The Main Intelligence Directorate reported that Russia would need about two months, to assemble military formations, and any Russian success on the battlefield will depend on how well the Russians are equipped and trained.
Much will also depend on the continued supply of Western ammunition and weapons to Ukraine.
