Russia may try to seize the Suwalki corridor/Delfi
Lithuania is preparing to deploy even more NATO troops on its territory due to the latest Russian threats. The latter does not like the fact that Lithuania complies with the requirements of the sanctions and does not let certain goods into Kaliningrad. They are threatening military action near the Suwalski corridor.
Why Russia is not ready for a confrontation with modern Lithuania and what methods of terrorism Vladimir Putin can resort to – experts told Channel 24 website exclusively.
Russia's Chronic Disease< /h2>
Yevgeny Savisko, an expert of the public movement “All Together!”, said that Russia chronically lives with one disease – the search for enemies, especially external ones.
If you see in our news surnames and first names with a lowercase letter, this is not a mistake, but the position of the editors regarding the actions of terrorist states and individuals who supported the full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
The conflict with Lithuania is a long one. In fact, it began after the collapse of the USSR in 1991. With greater and lesser intensity continued all these years. And the leaders of the Russian Federation should have prepared for such actions of Lithuania. But now Russia's exaggerated aplomb is hurting itself.
Russia turned out to be unprepared for a real confrontation with modern Lithuania, and therefore it is trying to urgently find effective means of counteraction. The first thing Moscow can do is cyberattacks. The second is provocations on the borders with Lithuania. Belarus will be involved here. Lukashenka can agree, because it is safer than fighting in Ukraine with the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The third is to try to block the Lithuanian sea coast and, above all, the largest Lithuanian port of Klaipeda. The fourth is political and economic blackmail, the expert noted.
Putin continues to threaten Lithuania/Photo by Getty Images
He added that there is a possibility of starting a war with Lithuania. There are chances for such madness of Russian leaders. Although, if this happens, it will be the official start of the third world war. After all, Lithuania is a member of NATO and the principle of collective security of the participating countries at the present time. Therefore, if the Russian troops strike, the Lithuanians, together with the allies, will defend themselves.NATO has every opportunity for effective defense and offensive. The Kaliningrad region and the units of the Baltic Fleet of the Russian Federation located in it, including the headquarters of the fleet (Kaliningrad), will be the first to suffer. An attempt to seize the Suwalki corridor is possible, but Lithuania and Poland are already ready for such an option.
Russia is not ready for a full-scale war with Lithuania
However, to start a full-scale war with Lithuania, Russia needs to have enough forces and means, incl. personnel, and there are already problems with this thanks to our army. And it is also necessary to have full control over Belarus with a controlled president. There are problems here too. Lukashenka is an extremely unreliable ally, and it takes time and effort to replace him. “father” for power will fight fiercely. Finally, it is very difficult to fight both Ukraine and Lithuania at the same time. Even logistically. Not to mention the purely military aspect,” Savisko explained.
< /p>
Lithuania is ready for provocations from Russia/Photo by Getty Images
He summed up that the aggravation of the conflict between Russia and Lithuania is largely beneficial for Ukraine. After all, now at least a little, but Russia's attention is diverted from us, as well as part of the material and human resources.
In addition, even Russia's largest allies are convinced of its unpredictability, unreliability and mania. And the chances of Ukraine getting modern weapons from our allies are growing significantly.
What is happening in relations between Lithuania and Russia: the main thing
- Lithuania recently banned the transit of sanctioned Russian goods through its territory. Neither trucks nor trains can go. They explained that they were simply following the EU sanctions policy. In Russia, Lithuania's actions were called a violation of international legal obligations.
- In addition, there in Russia they began to loudly say that their hands were “untied”. And very soon they began training in the Kaliningrad region with Grads and Hurricanes. And the self-proclaimed president of Belarus, Alexander Lukashenko, generally spoke that in this way Lithuania actually declared war.
- Lithuanian President Gitanas Nausėda said that there would be no concessions.
- The Ukrainian Foreign Ministry came to the defense of Lithuanian friends . Minister Dmitry Kuleba said that Russia itself is to blame for the consequences of the invasion of Ukraine.
- It should be noted that Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia are NATO countries, and the United States gave an unequivocal answer to prevent Russia from resorting to military action.
- li>
