Retired Israeli Lieutenant Colonel Assesses Risk of Escalation in East Following Elimination of Hamas Leader

A retired Israeli lieutenant colonel assessed the risk of escalation in the East after the liquidation of Hamas leader Dzvenislava Moshovskaya

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One of the leaders of Hamas, Ismail Ghaniya, was liquidated in Iran. This event became known on July 31. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps has promised a tough response to the murder.

The terrorist organization blames Israel for the liquidation of its leader, but they have not officially commented on the event. Israeli political scientist, IDF reserve lieutenant colonel Arieh Zaiden told Channel 24 that it is not yet known who is involved in the murder of the Hamas leader.

Risk of escalation of the situation in the East

Arieh Zaiden noted that the theoretical probability of escalation in the East is always possible, but the percentage is small. Ismail Ghania is a Palestinian and a Sunni who was visiting Shiites in Iran.

It is not known whether people with different religions are ready to defend each other. They have only one enemy that unites them. This is Israel and the United States of America, – said the Israeli political scientist.

He suggested that if after the liquidation of the Hamas leader there was no reaction for ten hours, then it is unknown whether there will be one in the future.

According to Zaiden, if Iran wants to respond effectively to this event, then there may be many possibilities. However, there are no ready-made scenarios there.