Not only Ukraine: what countries are under the threat of Russian offensive due to autumn exercises in Belarus Angelica Gaeshevichsovnik thesis < ul > < Li > in the fall of 2025, joint military exercises of Belarus and Russia are planned, which may pose a threat to the Suvalsky corridor. < Li > Historically Russia uses teachings as a cover to prepare for the invasion, as it was in cases with Ukraine in 2022 and Georgia in 2008.
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60 > Moscow working on longtime tactics: first training, and then invasion. The head of the security program of the Globalistics Center “Strategy of XXI” Pavel Lacquychuk on the air of the 24th channel evaluated such a threat.< h2 class = "News-Subtitle Cke-Markup" > teachings as a cover for preparation for preparation for preparation Invasion
< p >Historically, preparation for a blow is often carried out under the cover of large -scale exercises. This is already observed for more than 60, and possibly 100 years. Let us recall how a full -scale invasion of Ukraine began – Russian troops were in Belarus during the year, conducting permanent exercises. And then – attacked.
< p > the same thing happened in 2008 during the war in Georgia. Before the attack, the Russians conducted exercises, after which the troops remained in the areas of their holding. Formally-the teachings ended, in fact-the rehearsal of the attack took place.
< p class = "Bloquote Cke-Markup" > teachings often precede the invasion. But this does not mean that after each teaching there will be sure to aggression. This may happen, or maybe not. However, large -scale exercises always pose a threat to the region, and for us in particular, ”Pavel Lacquyuk emphasized.
~ 60 > Russia has long been striving to take the Belarusian army under its command. And instead of mobilization, getting a ready -made army of about 40 thousand people – although not many, but these are trained, armed soldiers. This is a significant amplification.
< p > similar scenarios have already been played out. For example, during the studies of the West-2017, a conditional state of Veinthia was created, which, according to legend, covered the Baltic countries and the Suvalsky corridor. It was an operation to break through the border in the Kaliningrad region.
< p class = "Insert cke-markup" >~ 60 > Suval corridor < strong >-the territory that connects the Baltic countries of the Baltic (Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania) with Poland. < strong > “waisturia” – territory of some sections of the Grodno, Minsk and Vitebsk regions. The border of a fantasy country with the rest of the lands of Belarus largely repeats the border between the USSR and Poland.
~ 60 > you need to carefully monitor such teachings and prepare for possible threats. Even if the invasion does not occur, readiness is the best defense.
