Brief version of the news
- Russians can accumulate weapons in warehouses and begin selling them subject to a suspension of hostilities.
- In this case, Russia can restore its potential only in 3 – 5 years.
- Therefore, the enemy needs a “freeze” of the war in order to create reserves for further movement towards Europe. The Baltic countries, which are located next to Belarus, may come under attack.
The German Ministry of Defense said that the Russians are producing more weapons than they need. Alexander Lukashenko, for his part, claims that Russia, having developed its potential, will produce so many weapons that they will be distributed throughout the world.
Colonel Armed Forces of Ukraine reserve, military expert, pilot-instructor Roman Svitan told 24 Channel, under what conditions Russia might have a surplus of weapons.
How quickly can Russia restore its stockpile of weapons
Svitan noted that the ammunition and equipment in Russian warehouses will be at zero in literally a year. They are now raising old equipment and putting it on combat duty.
According to him, the enemy can only have surpluses if the fighting is stopped. Then the occupiers will begin to accumulate weapons and sell.
In this sense, Lukashenko is right, that is, he is warning, simply “does not speak completely,” said the reserve colonel.
He noted that the Russians will not be able to quickly restore their potential. In only 3 to 5 years they can reach approximately the level of positions they had before 2022.
What is Russia's goal
The military expert does not rule out that the Russians may produce some new modifications of some weapons.
But without elemental foreign base – they will not produce anything new,” said Svitan.
If they do something, it will be old Soviet equipment.
However, he noted, there is definitely a mechanism for “freezing” the war in order to create reserves for further movement. In addition, this movement will be specifically towards Europe. The Baltic countries located next to Belarus may come under attack.
Therefore, he added, Lukashenko understands that since he already had a big problem due to for the entry of Russian invaders into Ukraine through Belarus and the same operation could be carried out in the Baltic countries, so he is jittery on camera.
What is known about the confrontation between Russia and NATO
- The Kremlin is carrying out a standard information operation that views the West as a permanent aggressor. The Institute for the Study of War believes that by carrying out military reforms and expanding its army, Russia can prepare for a likely future confrontation with NATO.
- The Russian Foreign Ministry threatens strikes on Polish territory if there nuclear facilities of NATO countries will be located. The corresponding statements were made by the Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs of the aggressor country, Sergei Ryabkov. The alliance is preparing for a possible confrontation with the Kremlin. Polish Foreign Minister Sikorski noted that a possible Russian attack on NATO would end in the defeat of Moscow.
