ISW names the condition under which Russia will lose the war against Ukraine

ISW named the condition under which Russia will lose the war against Ukraine Vladislav Kravtsov

ISW analysts told under what conditions Russia will lose the war/Collage 24 Channel

Analysts at the American Institute for the Study of War noted that Russia cannot defeat Ukraine or the West and will most likely lose the war. However, for this to happen, Western states must take appropriate steps.

Experts noted that this could happen if the West mobilizes its resources to counter Moscow's capabilities . At the same time, Russia may lose despite Vladimir Putin’s blackmail.

Why Putin is losing the war against Ukraine

ISW analysts noted that during his visits to North Korea and Vietnam, Putin launched a massive information campaign to undermine the efforts of Ukraine's allies to establish a common strategic goal to end Russia's illegal aggression in Ukraine.

“In mid-June, Ukraine's partners took several important steps to agree on a common strategy and define the desired strategic outcome of the war. More than 80 Western and international officials recently articulated a principled position on supporting the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine as the basis for lasting peace in Ukraine in communiqué adopted during the Global Peace Summit on June 16,” experts said.

Ukraine also signed security agreements with the United States and Japan on June 13 for a period of 10 years. In addition, various partner states confirmed their unwavering support for Ukraine in the G7 and Ramstein format.

Thus, US President Joe Biden noted the country’s dedication to the Ukrainian-American security agreement support for Ukraine to ensure its success and prevent Russia from winning.

Putin's strategy for winning the war is based on the Kremlin's attempts to mislead the United States, The European Union and Ukraine's international allies, forcing them to stop supporting Ukraine and abandon the key principles of international law – respect for state sovereignty and the inviolability of territorial integrity, analysts write.

However, According to ISW, Ukrainian allies have demonstrated strategic clarity and a strong commitment to helping Ukraine achieve victory over Russia in the war. This position was a blow to Putin's efforts and his ability to influence decision-makers in the Alliance.

“Putin covertly threatened to use nuclear weapons if the West allowed Ukraine to win a decisive victory over Russia to undermine the international community's agreed strategic vision to support Ukraine,” the experts noted. , aimed at dissuading Ukraine's allies from participating in countering Russia's illegal invasion.

In its report, ISW also stressed that Russia will continue to rely on the threat of nuclear escalation as a the main means of manipulating the actions of Ukraine's allies.