The Russian army does not yet bear the threat of a second invasion of the territory of Ukraine. To do this, the occupiers need to carry out really serious training not only for personnel.
Military expert Yury Fedorov told about this Channel 24. According to him, one can count on success only when all actions are well planned and perfected.
What problems does Russia have
Yuri Fedorov explained that Russia has thousands of old tanks that are about 50-60 years old. Approximately the same age, the enemy has artillery guns and other armored vehicles.
Of course, this hardware can be brought to a more or less combat-ready state, but it does not solve problems by itself. Problems are solved by people who know how to use this iron, he stressed.
In his opinion, modern Western tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, HIMARS-type artillery systems are significantly superior to modern Russian counterparts. However, the problem of the Russians lies not only in obsolete weapons, which are being removed from conservation from warehouses somewhere beyond the Ural Mountains and they are hastily trying to bring them back to normal.
“We still need to teach people how to use these weapons “, – he drew attention.
The military expert added that they are talking about ensuring the rallying of combat teams, that is, the creation of combat-ready military units, battalions, subunits, platoons, companies. It is also important to fill the need for command personnel with the necessary combat experience.
There is a catastrophic lack of such command personnel in Russia,” he commented.
It is with these problems in mind that Russia's ability to carry out an offensive within two to three weeks should be analyzed.
Yuri Fedorov spoke about the problems in Russia: watch the video
What could be the key moment
Yuri Fedorov said that a poorly prepared offensive, that is, when the troops are not very good at fighting, is evidence that the offensive will fail.
“I think if the Russians rush to such offensive, then the probability that it will be unsuccessful will increase,” he noted.
In his opinion, there is a temptation in Moscow to strike, however, its direction is not yet known.< /p>
We see an increase in Russian pressure on Ugledar, Bakhmut, somewhere near Marinka, starting with the intensification of offensive operations, but these are still tactical plans, actions that do not lead to anything and will not lead, – he explained.
According to the military expert, such efforts by the enemy will not lead to radical changes or a turning point in the war.
The occupiers along the borders are not activated yet. In addition, in any case, the number of the Russian army is monitored by various reconnaissance technical means.
“For the time being, we see what is happening on the front from Vuhledar to Kremennaya, tentatively. Some attempts by Russia to succeed are unfolding there,” he stressed.
In his opinion, the move and the fate of the war will be decided elsewhere. Most likely, it will be the Zaporozhye region.
Russia's repeated offensive: expert opinions
- The Institute for the Study of War reports that Russia is preparing for a protracted war in Ukraine. Experts also suggest that Putin may conduct a strategic operation in the next six months.
- The Belarusian military is afraid of drawing Belarus into the war. Belarusian oppositionist Natalia Radina suggests that a second offensive from Belarus is a matter of time.
- According to information from the Polish general Bohuslav Patsek, the occupiers are preparing for “serious actions.” He suggests that in March the enemy may launch a serious military campaign on the territory of Ukraine.
