Russia is trying to make Armenia an obedient puppet/Kremlin as an exclusive zone of his own regional influence, therefore Putin always hoped to turn Nikol Pashinyan into a kind of “political puppet”, which is easy to control and point to the political course. Further – in an exclusive blog for the 24 channel website.
The use of economic elements of pressure, limiting the room for maneuvers regarding the situation in Nagorno-Karabakh – all this became elements of influence on the Armenian prime minister. However, as practice shows, they are not successful enough.
Own game
Firstly, Nikol Pashinyan began active communication with the diaspora in France and the United States in order to acquire subjectivity in the Nagorno-Karabakh case and search for an alternative to Russia, which no longer successfully presents itself as a “guarantor” of stability in the region. Armenia is trying to independently develop a dialogue with Azerbaijan without excessive “patronage” of the Kremlin.
Secondly, Armenia does not support Russia's line in the war and war crimes against Ukraine. If earlier the Kremlin hoped to involve the CSTO in the so-called “special operation”, now Pashinyan's position has given a clear understanding to the Russian invaders – Armenia is against it, and the country's leader (temporarily heading the council of the organization) will not approve such a political decision.
The sluggish CSTO summit on May 16 confirmed this trend – Armenia understands the threat of interaction with Russia and will use ways to get out of the influence of the aggressor.
Across the street
Of course, the Kremlin does not like these circumstances and they found another mechanism for increasing pressure on Pashinyan – “across the street”.The Russian side “activated” former President Robert Kocheryan to mobilize people against the government and the current prime minister. A wave of protests has spread in the country, in which the “Russian trace” can be traced.
The politician's personal goal is to return to the information agenda, Russia's goal is to try to drive Pashinyan into a corner “either he follows the political line of the Kremlin, or the protests will go over into a more acute phase and there will be a threat of a coup.”
Russia goes for broke
More and more often the Kremlin goes for broke against Armenia, trying to maintain its influence on the actions of official Yerevan.
In such circumstances, the scenario of military aggression in the Armenian direction takes on a real shape, if the Armenian people and government decide to get rid of the threatening yoke.
Under the circumstances The powerful Armenian diaspora will play an important role, ensuring that Armenia is on the political radars of leading actors – France, the United States, Britain.
Armenia cannot be left face to face with an enemy that has been trying to impersonate a friend for ten years ha.
