Grozev believes that Putin's government will not be able to hold out for at least 5 years/liga.net
The Kremlin will try to use its propaganda to show any outcome of the war as its own gain. However, Putin's government will still not be able to hold out for at least 5 years.
Bellingcat investigative journalist Christo Grozev said he does not see a long-term scenario in this situation.
Even a mini-victory will be a defeat for Putin
According to the journalist, Putin agreed with his people: “give me the opportunity to let your sons die, and I will return Ukraine to the Soviet Union 2.0”.
< p> Therefore, any mini-victory will be considered a defeat. However, Grozev assumes that the Kremlin will do everything possible to show this as a win with its propaganda machine.
Putin's regime will not last another 5 years
However, Russians will perceive such a thing as weakness. When there was a weak tsar in Russia, this led to indefinite centrifugal processes, to a revolution.
“Therefore, I do not see a situation where a partial false gain can give this power another 5 years,” the investigator summed up.
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