For one massive attack, Russia fires up to a hundred missiles across the territory of Ukraine. However, at present, Moscow already has problems with replenishment of reserves.
According to the representative of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense Vadim Skibitsky, Moscow is already using missiles manufactured in 2022. This indicates that the Kremlin fires rockets right from the factory.
How many missiles can Russia produce
According to our estimates, they (the Russians – Channel 24) can now produce about 30 units of X-101 per month. If we talk about “Caliber”, then we think 15 – 20 units per month, – said in intelligence.
Vadim Skibitsky confirmed the information that the Russians do have more Kh-101 and Kh-555 missiles than Kalibrov. In particular, according to intelligence data, they have approximately 60 of the latter and they produce a maximum of 20 per month.
“And they also need to replenish their stocks. This, by the way, explains why now they find a lot of fragments of missiles manufactured in 2022, including in the 3rd quarter. This indicates that they immediately go to production troops,” an intelligence official said.
What stock of missiles does the Kremlin have
Vadim Skibitsky explained that, according to regulatory documents, strategic missiles should be 30% of the entire stock of missiles. However, the Russians passed it on all types of missiles: Iskander, Caliber, Kh-101, Kh-555.
That is, they already have stocks of less than 30%. This indicates that the real problem for them is the replenishment of their stocks, – Skibitsky explained.
Moreover, he assured that Moscow does not have many “Daggers” and there is a problem with their MiG-31 carrier aircraft. In particular, the intelligence representative recalled that the engine caught fire in the MiG in Belarus. According to Skibitsky:
- Russians use “daggers” to demonstrate and intimidate that they have weapons that no one can shoot down;
- if they shoot them too, then there will simply be nothing to frighten the world with;
- the enemies maintain tension in the possibility of using these weapons not only against us, but also against other European countries.
Likely massive attack on Ukraine: briefly
- According to our intelligence, the Russians still have missiles for another 2-3 massive strikes. According to Vadim Skibitsky, this is approximately 80 missiles during the attack, although there may be more.
- The speaker of the Operational Command “South” Natalya Gumenyuk said that there are only 3 enemy ships in the Black Sea. Moreover, there is not a single launch vehicle.
- Therefore, our military assumes that Russia took the ships in order to prepare them for the next shelling of Ukraine. After analyzing and waiting for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the attack may be around Christmas – January 6 – 7.