The Russian dictator's announcement of an alleged partial mobilization became a cold shower for the society of the aggressor country. But at the same time, it did not affect the ability of the inhabitants of the chauvinist-Nazi state to resist the regime.
On the one hand, the whole world saw how thousands of “not such Russians” began to flee the country. On the other hand, several hundred “liberals” took to the squares of big cities to protest against the mobilization.
Of course, the rallies had no effect on the authorities. After all, “driving round dances and clapping hands” in no way prevents Putin from doing his plan, as, in fact, watching the security forces methodically detaining “protesters.” In particular, the police detained even those who went “for Russia.” Several men in a state of intoxication came to a rally opposed to the mobilization. Drunk Z-patriots shouted that they were ready to go to war in Ukraine. However, they were also detained.
Moreover, during the rallies on September 21, representatives of the military registration and enlistment offices did not miss the opportunity to hand over the subpoenas to the detained protesters.
The Russian subpoena after the protests/Photo from social networks< /em>
Absolutely not partial mobilization
- If we analyze the situation with additional and emergency conscription in Russia, we can confidently say that the Kremlin dictator brought war into every family.
- Almost everyone who dressed up children in the military shape, clung to his car a modern swastika, shouted “we can repeat” and wished “death to Ukrainians”, now they are faced with a new reality. When you have to either forcefully send your own child to the front, or get up from the sofa and freeze in the trenches “like grandfathers.”
- In addition, the Russians finally began to guess that the “special operation” did not go according to plan at all. After all, all the stories of propagandists and officials about “victories” and incredible losses among the Ukrainian army for some reason led to that military commissars are rampant on the streets of “inviolable” Moscow.
All the stories that Putin and Shoigu planned to add “300 thousand people” to the army do not stand up to scrutiny. Because the plans of the invaders to destroy Ukraine have not changed in any way, and they are not capable of abandoning the tactics of “throwing with meat.” Therefore, many more men are mobilized in Russia.
Note that the Russian media, citing the administration of the dictator-president, reported that the secret seventh paragraph of Putin's decree concerns the number of Russians who are planned to be mobilized. And we are not talking about 300 thousand people, but about a million.
The fact that Russia is mobilizing a much larger number is evidenced both by the incredible activity of the military commissars and police officers from Vladivostok to Kaliningrad, and the mass mailing of subpoenas electronically in the temporarily occupied Crimea.
There is no doubt that, on the orders of Putin, completely random people from all regions will be sent to the millstones of war. And those who are really reservists, and the sick, and those with many children, and pensioners. Moreover, already on September 22, in the military registration and enlistment offices, without medical examinations and in general, any proceedings, they began to stamp out a mobilization order for everyone who came, without even giving them the opportunity to prepare for departure.
The fact that real, and not hidden, mobilization began even in Moscow and St. Petersburg, eloquently indicates that Putin has finally gone for broke and is going to fight to the last Russian.Of course, the occupiers will focus on the mobilization of the inhabitants of Crimea, as well as the temporarily occupied parts of the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions. Unfortunately, in these regions, the forced sending of men to the front can reach the level of the so-called “DPR” and “LPR”.
Therefore, the remaining Ukrainians in the uncontrolled South should heed the advice of the authorities and urgently leave by any possible routes . Or change their place of residence, stock up on food and agree that women will deliver everything they need for life for a long time. u003d “What is it possible for Putin to choose a million military”>Will Putin be able to raise a million-strong army
The answer to the question of whether Putin's plan to replenish his aggressive army will fail is quite complicated. After all, the very next day after the announcement of mobilization near the military registration and enlistment offices one could see hundreds of men who, without joy, but without resistance, got into buses and went to their death for the Fuhrer. However, there were also cases when the potential cargo 200 for some reason refused to go to war. For example, in Dagestan it even came to the blocking of the federal highway.
Men in Dagestan quarreled with a fan of the war: watch the video
However, Russia is a big police state . Therefore, the discontent of the slave population will in no way prevent the regime from gathering a considerable number of people. Another question is the motivation and provision of such an army.
As practice has shown with the meeting of the third army corps, the Kremlin is critically lacking volunteers for waging war. Therefore, with an increase in mobilization measures, the number of refuseniks and “evaders” will certainly increase. If earlier Putin corny bribed the inhabitants of the hinterland, now Russians who are completely satisfied with their lives receive subpoenas. Who don't like the idea of being convertible to a white Lada.
Change whether mobilization is the course of the war in Ukraine
The Russian army lost almost its entire skeleton in almost 7 months of hostilities. Trained units were eliminated in frontal attacks and in attempts to capture Kyiv, Kharkov, Sumy and other regional centers. In addition, the Ukrainian Defense Forces destroyed a significant amount of enemy equipment, which affected Russia's ability to effectively conduct an offensive. The invaders experience significant problems with artillery shells. Therefore, the Russian army in the coming years, one way or another, will not be as powerful as it was before February 24, no matter how many Putin’s people were gathered during mobilization.
In particular, the British Ministry of Defense, citing intelligence data, reported that Russia will face logistical and administrative difficulties during the mobilization of even 300,000 people. In addition, mobilization will cost the Russian budget at least 1.3 trillion rubles annually. This is about 22 billion dollars. Therefore, the budget deficit of Russia will continue to grow against the background of the fact that the income of the aggressor is falling due to a number of sanctions.
It should also be noted that Russia is not able to provide hundreds of thousands of people with all the necessary equipment, as well as properly prepare them. During the entire time of the full-scale war, Moscow sent completely uncoordinated units of “volunteers” to the combat zone, which is why all the replenishment was not very effective. If Putin and his henchmen are true to themselves and send those mobilized for war “in portions”, the effect of replenishing troops will only prolong the agony of Russia. enough time, Moscow can somehow assemble a sufficiently combat-ready army. However, even this is unlikely to bring at least some dividends to Putin, because during the six months of the formation of units, the situation on the fronts can change significantly not in favor of the Kremlin. After all, one way or another, Ukraine will receive modern weapons from partner countries, which have already radically changed the course of the war.
In general, an increase in the number of armed invaders is, of course, bad news for our country. At least tactically, an increase in the number of invaders can cause a lot of trouble for the soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the General Staff. However, the strategic announcement and mobilization of Putin will only interfere. Because the Russian military machine simply won't be able to provide the mobilized with everything necessary. For the desire to kill Ukrainians into couch warriors who still believe in the greatness of Russia will be multiplied by zero with the first shot from HIMARS, and motivation in the war decides a lot.
Besides one can definitely say that the logistics of the army of the invaders will not cope with the tasks assigned to it, and the same GMLRS will significantly worsen the supply of everything necessary to the front line. And this will certainly contribute to the demoralization of the Russians mobilized by Putin.
