The Ukrainian military has had some success on the left bank of the Kherson region. What is known about this and how it will affect the course of the war – read the ICTV Facts material.
What is known about the situation in the Kherson region
November 17 The Marine Corps of the Ukrainian Armed Forces stated that they carried out a series of successful operations on the left bank of the Dnieper in the Kherson region. The Ukrainian Armed Forces managed to gain a foothold in several bridgeheads.
IN The General Staff explained that one of the main objectives of these operations is the need to push the Russian occupiers away from the right bank of the Dnieper in order to protect the civilian population from constant attacks by the Russian Federation.
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In turn, the press secretary of the Defense Forces of southern Ukraine, Natalya Gumenyuk, said on air of Unified News that deteriorating weather conditions complicate the battles. We are talking about both the occupiers and the Ukrainian Defense Forces. Therefore, now our fighters are trying to gain a foothold on the left bank.
— We must realize that in very bad weather conditions it is now complicated. Because this not only complicates physical advancement, but also aerial reconnaissance. Because there is a thunderstorm warning. And the enemy now does not have the opportunity to use tactical aviation as powerfully as they did before this stage (remember the bombing of 70-80 KABs per day). Therefore, this period is now being used to consolidate our successes as reliably as possible,” she emphasized.
How will consolidation on the left bank affect the front?
The successes of the Ukrainian Defense Forces jeopardize the entire defense of the Russians in the South, ex-platoon commander of the Aidar battalion, ATO veteran Yevgeny Dikiy, said in an exclusive commentary to Facts ICTV.
Moreover, the battles on the left bank of the Kherson region may become decisive for this year’s campaign.
“In fact, based on their results, it will be determined with what we go further into winter and into next year,” the expert notes.
In addition, Dikiy explains that now the entire defense of the Russian Federation is based on the fact that they have the so-called Surovikin line, which is very difficult to penetrate.
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“Over the entire summer, we managed to completely destroy the first of three lines of defense, and very heavy fighting is still going on on the second line of defense, and we haven’t even reached the third line yet.” And there is the Dnieper, which they also consider a line of defense and where there has long been a “gray zone” along the Left Bank, where our sabotage and reconnaissance groups constantly operated, but where, as the Russians believed, we would never be able to transfer any serious forces, so more armored vehicles and from there develop an offensive deep into their rear,” he says.
Contrary to such hopes of the enemy, the Ukrainian military managed to land on the left bank and gain a foothold there. However, from this moment on, the occupiers are working against the Ukrainian Defense Forces with everything they can. According to Dikiy, the greatest threat there is posed by Russian aviation.
“But we can already state the fact that they failed to push our fighters back to the Dnieper. The bridgehead already exists, it can already be said to be stationary, permanent, reinforcements are being transferred to it and this bridgehead is gradually expanding. This creates a great threat to the entire defense system of the Russians, because if the Ukrainian Armed Forces manage to transfer even larger forces to this bridgehead and expand it in the direction of Crimea, in the direction of Perekop, then they have a threat that their entire group could be cut into two parts , says the expert.
Therefore, that part of the occupiers who are now defending along the Surovikin line in Zaporozhye will remain cut off from their main supply, which is carried out through the Crimean peninsula.
“If we had succeeded, it would have meant a turning point in the entire campaign; it would have actually been the success of our big summer-autumn counteroffensive. Whether we will succeed is 50/50 for now, because this is a war, because the Russians understand as well as we do how high the stakes are,” adds Dikiy.
Therefore, the invaders will probably use all their reserves to prevent us from expanding this bridgehead, to prevent us from breaking through further into their operational rear.