Balakliya, Kherson, increase in financial aid for Ukraine, increase in arms supplies, oil sanctions, restriction visas for Russians. A whole set of factors worsening the mood in the Kremlin bunker and with which Putin can do nothing.
The bunker grandfather decided to “outplay” everyone again
And in impotent anger, the bunker grandfather found how he could spoil the mood of Ukraine and the allies. Satisfied with his epic Gazprom video that Europe will freeze in winter (and this caused Homeric laughter in Europe itself and the city of Krasnoyarsk, which illustrated the European winter hell with its usual annual hell), Putin again switched to grain blackmail.
< p>The grain agreement, which he was forced to sign under pressure, is working successfully. Ukraine increases the volume of exports. This led to a decrease in prices on the world market (in particular, the speculative component has gone) and leads to a stable inflow of foreign currency into Ukraine in large volumes.
Putin will try to roll back the grain deal. Putin said that he should discuss with Erdogan the issue of limiting the supply of agricultural products from Ukraine, because grain goes not only to the poorest countries in Africa, but also to the EU.
Europe will not suffer
Firstly >, you need someone to finally explain to Putin how world markets work. And if there is less grain on them, prices rise and the poorest always lose from this. For the rich will simply buy elsewhere. But the poor can't.
Ah, secondly, oddly enough, Putin still lied. He stated that only 2 out of 80 ships with food from Ukraine went to the poorest countries, the rest went to Europe. But this is complete bullshit. Ukraine does ship 37% of its exports through ports to the EU. Mostly Spain and Portugal. Traditional markets for Ukrainian grain. After all, in these parts there are not enough grains to provide for their livestock. This was before the war. It's now.
But, as we understand, 37% is not the same as 78 courts out of 80. Or the way needs to be explained not only how world markets work, but also mathematics for the first class. But Putin's logic does not work precisely because Spain will always find grain on the market. Buys more expensive, but will buy. Suddenly subsidies from the rich EU will help. As well as paying for an expensive communal apartment, which the Russians are so afraid of ordinary Europeans. But African countries will feel the rise in prices and competition from Spain and will suffer.
Toothless Kremlin
And the most interesting thing. the way is mad. And he wants to do dirty tricks. One day to answer both the EU and Ukraine. Because it is forced to retreat in all directions. And in the Kherson region. And in their oil and gas revenues. But even before he was not a humanist. And he made the deal not because he wanted to help African children. But because China and Co. made him a suggestion.
What has changed today? Putin's ability to influence has decreased. He has weakened financially and militarily. Because he wants to use grain blackmail. But have the factors that made Putin sign the unfavorable grain agreement changed? Hardly. So they will prevent him from replaying it.
Can we predict the situation? Difficult. A desperate cornered rat is capable of anything. But what we can say for sure is that the attempt to win over the grain deal is evidence of Putin's weakness. Although, of course, there is no and cannot be a reason for panic in the Kremlin.
