In the western part of the Kherson region, the invaders are trying to carry out a more targeted and controlled withdrawal. They want to avoid the chaotic rout that characterized the collapse of Russian defensive positions in the Kharkiv region.
In the past few months, the Russians have significantly reinforced the west of the Kherson region, including airborne units and some units of the 1st Guards Tank army. This was reported at the Institute for the Study of War.
What is the situation in the Kherson region
The Ukrainian counter-offensive in the Kherson region is progressing, and Russian troops seem to be trying to slow it down and retreat to more defensive positions, rather than stop or return.
Continuous Ukrainian attacks on Russian ground lines of communication (GLOC) across the Dnieper River to the western Kherson region seems to be increasingly affecting Russian supplies on the right bank. Recent reports indicate a shortage of food and water in occupied Kherson and at least a temporary reduction in Russian artillery fire.
Also, low-quality units broke down on some sections of the Russian front line, moreover, allowing the Ukrainians to advance.
Ukrainian forces are likely to regain much, if not all, of the Kherson region in the coming weeks if they continue to obstruct the Russian GLOC and force their advance. analysts say.
What is happening in Donbas
A Russian blogger claimed that last week the Russian command issued a “no retreat” order to all units serving in the Donbas, demanding that the Russian forces operating there hold their positions regardless of the situation.
“This order would be worthy of attention from both sides if the report were accurate. First, the Donetsk region is the only territory in Ukraine where Russian troops are still conducting offensive actions. There have been sporadic reports of limited Ukrainian counterattacks, but no evidence of that Ukraine is preparing a large-scale counter-offensive operation in the area,” the analysts noted.
However, it follows from the order that the Russian military may be wary of a Ukrainian counter-offensive even in their latest offensive efforts. Secondly, this demonstrates a deep distrust to the combat capabilities of the units receiving the order, in contrast to the apparently greater confidence of the Russian commanders in the units in the western Kherson region, where reasonable efforts to conduct a controlled withdrawal seem to prevail.
The occupiers are preparing more provocations in Kherson
As it became known, the Russians are preparing provocations in Kherson not, but they want to blame the Ukrainian military. This was announced by the representative of the Odessa Regional Military Administration Sergey Bratchuk.
According to him, among the objects where the above actions of the Russians are possible, institutions of the so-called education are primarily considered.