It is noted that the Russian Federation will likely try to incite protests in the United States, regardless of who wins the election.
Russia and Iran may try to provoke violent protests in the United States after the presidential elections in November. The goal is to sow discord, cast doubt on the election results, and complicate the transition of presidential power.
This is reported by the AP, citing a warning from intelligence officials in a declassified memo.
A memo released by the U.S. Director of National Intelligence says that Russia and Iran could support violent protests either by secretly organizing events themselves or by encouraging local groups to participate in planned events. The goal would be to sow discord, cast doubt on the election results, and complicate the transition of presidential power.
According to the memo, in January Russian military intelligence tried to recruit a U.S. citizen to organize protestsin his home country. The American may not have known he was in contact with Russian agents.
The United States has accused the Iranian government for the first time of covertly supporting protests against American support for Israel during the Gaza war. Intelligence officials have learned that Iranian-linked individuals offered to cover the cost of travel to protests in Washington.
There is a greater risk this year that one of the United States' adversaries could help fuel political violence after the election, officials say, because Iranian and Russian officials now have a better understanding of the complex process the United States uses to certify the vote.
The period between Election Day and the inauguration of a new president is especially risky, they say, as foreign adversaries and domestic extremists could try to disrupt the certification of the election, using deceptive claims or innocent violations. Concerns about security have already prompted poll workers in some communities to install bulletproof glass and panic buttons.
Fears of political violence have grown amid concerns about widening polarization and growing distrust, trends that U.S. adversaries have tried to accelerate using online disinformation and propaganda. In addition to plans to influence the outcome of the election, officials say Russia and Iran, as well as China, want to undermine American unity by spreading false and misleading claims about the election, voting, and hot-button issues like immigration, the economy, or the federal response to recent hurricanes.
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The author of the article noted that for Russia, which is seeking to reduce support for Ukraine, this means preference for Republican candidate Donald Trump, who praised Russian President Vladimir Putin and criticized NATO.
At the same time, Iran tried to harm Trump's campaign by spreading disinformation and hacking his campaign emails. Iranian leaders have previously vowed to retaliate against Tromp after his administration ended the country's nuclear deal, reimposed sanctions and ordered the assassination of Iranian General Qasem Soleimani.
“Russia will likely try to foment protests in the US no matter who winsThe White House said a spokesman for the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, who spoke to reporters on condition of anonymity on Tuesday. Officials said they expected Russia to respond more aggressively if Harris beats Trump,” the report said.
In addition, China has been spreading disinformation that was intended to mislead and confuse Americans. However, intelligence officials say they have no indication that Beijing will try to encourage violent protests. U.S. intelligence officials and private analysts agree that Beijing has not expressed a significant advantage in the presidential race.
Officials also warned that groups seeking to interfere in the election could use the threat of violence at the polls to prevent certain groups of voters from casting their ballots. A similar thing happened in 2020 in 2015, when Iranian hackers posed as members of the far-right Proud Boys and sent threatening emails to Democratic voters.
Russia, China and Iran have rejected claims they seek to interfere in the U.S. election. A spokesman for Iran's mission to the United Nations pointed to past statements denying any intention to interfere in American politics. A spokesman for the Chinese Embassy in Washington said U.S. officials' statements about Chinese disinformation were “filled with malicious speculation against China.” The message left at the Russian embassy was immediately returned on October 22.
By the way, Trump has overtaken Harris for the first time in predicting the results of the 2024 elections.
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