Vladimir Putin's failed invasion of Ukraine is now in its second year. There has been much fanfare in recent weeks that Putin is launching a massive new offensive to completely deplete Ukraine.
Western leaders held their breath during the Munich Security Conference in February, wondering if Kyiv had the resources to hang on. But the Russians were already stuck, and the tanks stalled. 24 The channel adapted The Telegraph article about Putin's mistakes for Ukrainian readers.
Putin's strategy continues to be ill-conceived
The achievements expected by the Russians are not yet fully realized. Instead, one can trace the repetition of bad strategies and misguided assumptions that were at the beginning of a full-scale invasion.
Putin's military strategy continues to be ill-conceived, demonstrating in particular a poor understanding of the weather. Videos are emerging of Russian tanks trying to push through the mud.
Probably, the Russians did not take the necessary measures to ensure a successful military operation in the conditions of thawing soil or did not take this feature into account in planning the offensive. The Telegraph notes that this is the second time the Kremlin has fallen into this mess.
Russia uses senseless tactics
In addition, during the new offensive, Russia is still using the senseless tactics of the First World War, which do not work against the well-equipped, trained and highly motivated Ukrainian army.
Russian tanks, with their low ground clearance, cannot withstand weather changes. Western tanks can – Challenger 2 and Leopard 2 have much more ground clearance, so they are more effective.
“Putin may have pinned all his hopes on the restoration of the soldier's spirit after months of long nights and severe cold. If so, then this was another miscalculation.”
The morale of Ukrainian soldiers fighting for the survival of their country on their own territory, knowing that Western tanks will arrive, will always be higher than that of the Russians, who are pushed out of the trenches under pressure and thrown into a meat grinder with rusty weapons, no training and inexperienced commanders.
No army can fight and win under such conditions, and no amount of Putin's speeches will change this fundamental dynamic.
Will Russia be able to dominate the skies
Maybe Putin hopes to dominate the air when spring weather clears the skies. But it will also make it easier for Ukrainian forces to shoot down Russian aircraft, especially with Western Patriot missiles.
In addition, clear skies will help Western intelligence assets that relay critical information to Ukrainian forces, allowing them to strike deep behind enemy lines using HIMARS. More Russian headquarters and logistics centers are expected to be hit.
In addition, the Kremlin's aerial reconnaissance data collection was recently disrupted by damage to an A-50 spy plane.
As writes The Telegraph, Putin, perhaps, is either deeply concerned or poorly oriented. In this great offensive he faces the same problem as in the previous one. He will either cross his fingers, hoping that the West will lose his resolve, or his conscripts will die in vain.
“Ukrainian troops will dominate the battlefields this spring and summer. Russian failures will be repeated. New weapons will be sent to Kiev, and the determination to defend its freedom will grow. The Kremlin will frantically look for opportunities to change the course of events – this is why we must watch the chemical” article .
