The Financial Times forecast for 2025 includes several important events on the world stage.
The economic strategy of the new US President Donald Trump could lead to increased inflationary pressure, Russia and Ukraine will conclude a peace agreement, and the price of bitcoin will reach $200,000.
The Financial Times has published its forecast for 2025. Here are the main questions and answers:
Will there be a peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia?
“Yes. But to do this, the US president will force Moscow to sit down seriously at the negotiating table through threats of increased sanctions and increased support for Kiev. Volodymyr Zelensky will agree to de facto, but not de jure, Russian control over the occupied territories with some land swaps, in exchange for security guarantees from the EU and the US. Ukraine's accession to NATO will be postponed. Putin will hope for a loss of European resolve,” the Financial Times forecast noted.
Will Donald Trump unleash a full-scale tariff war?
“Probably yes. He could impose 10% tariffs on at least half of US imports, in particular on goods from China,” the Financial Times forecast edition.
Will US interest rates fall by the end of the year?
“No. Trump's economic policies could increase inflationary pressure, forcing the Federal Reserve to hold rates,” the Financial Times believes.
Will Emmanuel Macron remain president of France?
“Yes. But the political crisis due to the loss of the parliamentary majority weakens its position,” the Financial Times noted in its forecast.
Will large tech companies (Alphabet, Apple, Tesla, etc.) lose their leadership positions??
“No. But their growth will be limited by excessive capital investment and disappointment in artificial intelligence,” the publication predicted.
Will China's export prices fall??
“Yes. Chinese companies will increase competition, which will affect global markets,” the forecast noted.
Will Elon Musk and Donald Trump fall out?
“No. Musk will stay on Trump's side for the benefit of his companies,” the Financial Times believes.
Will Germany loosen its “debt brakes”?
“Yes. Defense spending and economic stagnation are forcing the government to reconsider its policy,” the Financial Times noted in its forecast. Times.
Will the bond market fall?
“No. Although risks remain, the U.S. avoids financial collapse,” the publication predicted.
Will China's carbon emissions fall?
“No. Despite progress in renewable energy, economic stimulus will increase energy demand,” the Financial Times believes.
Will the UK government raise taxes?
“No, at least temporarily. But liabilities could become a problem due to a lack of funds,” the Financial Times noted in its forecast.
Recall that US intelligence made a forecast for 2025.
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