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ISW assessed the threat of a Russian attack on NATO

by alex

The Russian Federation poses a serious danger to a number of NATO countries.

NATO representatives are increasingly warning that Russia poses a serious threat to the security of the alliance.

This is stated in the ISW report.

The Financial Times reported on February 16 that recent new assessments of Russia's military capabilities and potential threats to NATO states have forced Western leaders to recognize Russia's continued military capabilities and increase investment in defense .

FT quoted unnamed British military intelligence officials as warning that Russia's aggressive intentions remain and that Russian air and naval assets are still “largely intact” while Russian ground forces in Ukraine “degraded.”

“The Russian Black Sea Fleet suffered heavily from Ukrainian strikes, but most stationed outside the Black Sea. The FT notes that most Western officials expect Russia to be able to rebuild its strength “within five to six years” despite heavy losses in Ukraine,” it said.

This observation is consistent with ISW's preliminary assessment that ending the war on Russia's terms would allow Russian forces to quickly rebuild and restore capabilities that Russia could use to attack NATO countries.Several European officials Defense officials quoted by the FT stressed that there is a “real threat” that Russia could attack a NATO country within three to five years.

NATO officials' stronger reservations regarding the current state of the Russian threat are consistent with ISW's assessment that a Russia emerging victorious in Ukraine poses a significant threat to NATO and European security, and therefore continued Western support for Ukraine to prevent a Russian victory is essential to NATO security. and America.

We add that new intelligence data about Russia's growing military power and its threat to NATO security have caused a wave of warnings from Western governments about the likelihood of a large-scale conflict with the aggressive Russian Federation.

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