Israel could invade Lebanon: what does this mean for Ukraine – Business Insider

Israeli Air Force intercepts more missiles flying from Lebanon.

Between Israel and the Islamist movement Hezbollah are growing tension. In the event of a possible war between them, Ukraine will feel the consequences.

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Israel Defense Forces spokesman Rear Admiral Daniel Hagari said Hezbollah's growing aggression “puts us on the brink of what could become more wide escalation.

Israel and Hezbollah, a militant group backed by Iran operating out of Lebanon, have regularly exchanged fire since Hamas launched its cross-border terrorist attack from Gaza on Israel on October 7. Although this fight has so far been contained in the border region, it could escalate into a wider war,” the publication writes.

Meanwhile, the Israeli Air Force is intercepting more missiles coming from Lebanon and conducting military operations against Hezbollah military bases in southern Lebanon.

What consequences will this have for Ukraine

It will be noted that if tensions escalate into full-scale armed conflict, Israel would need more ammunition, putting severe pressure on the West's already strained artillery production. Thus, this could affect Ukraine's attempts to resist Russia.

“The event is already under significant pressure just to meet the demand for artillery for the war in Ukraine. So any new conflict, be it in the Middle East or elsewhere, will exacerbate the supply problems here,” said the director of the Air Force Strategy and Doctrine Program at the RAND Project

The fact that Ukraine could suffer is also evidenced by Katherine Levantovskaya, Deputy Director of the Advanced Defense Program at the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security of the Atlantic Council. < /p>

“Redirecting artillery to Israel would significantly impede Ukraine's military operations, force it to reduce its efforts, and ultimately increase the risk to [holding] strategic positions and territories (…) No one I didn’t expect the war in Ukraine to last as long as it has, and I don’t expect Israel to retreat sooner,” she said.