A scientist from the German Marshall Fund in Washington is confident that Trump will not be able to end the war in Ukraine "in 24 hours", as he promised earlier.
The 47th President of the United States, Donald Trump, has repeatedly stated that if he wins the election, he will end the war in Ukraine “in 24 hours” and even before the inauguration day. But he has never revealed any details about how he plans to do this.
Jackson Janes, a senior fellow at the German Marshall Fund of Washington, spoke about the negotiating tactics that Donald Trump could use to force Ukraine and Russia to sit down at the negotiating table in an interview with Deutsche Welle.
According to Janes, the problem is that no one can answer right now what intentions newly elected US President Donald Trump really has to end the war.
“I mean, his bombastic performance, his dramatic presentations of what he will do, were demonstrated by the words 'I will end this war in 24 hours,'” the scientist noted.
However, Janes I am sure that Trump will not be able to fulfill this ambitious promise.
“He said he would tell Putin, 'either you stop, or I'll give them all the weapons they want,' or he would go to Zelensky and tell him he had to give up four areas. I think he put his own reputation on the line by saying so many times that he was going to talk to Putin, who he knows very well by the way, and that he would go and sort this out, and that would end the war,” he added.
Janes recalled that when Trump was asked during the debates whether he wanted Ukraine to win this war, he replied that he “wanted it to end.”
“But at what cost? And no one, obviously, knows the answer to that question on either side of the Atlantic. So I think the question will be what he will try to do,” he emphasized. scientist.
According to him, no one can trust Putin “to provide any form of stable security for Ukraine.” So before making any deal with Putin, Trump will have to not only mend fences with Zelensky, but also discuss it with Europe and figure out how it would react to, for example, ending financial support for Ukraine.
“Whether that happens quickly, in a few years, or not, remains to be seen. But I think he plans to do what he always does, which is to take it personally. He did it with Xi Jinping, he did it with the North Korean leader [Kim Jong Un – ed.]… I think he believes he can do it based on the sheer force of his personality and sitting down with them and saying, look, this is how the world should work,” Janes said.
In his opinion, Trump will “probe” the situation, presumably, he will try to talk directly with Putin. But it is unlikely that the conversation with the Kremlin dictator will be so productive that after it one can say “I solved this problem.” Besides, everyone knows that Putin cannot be trusted, Janes noted.
In response to a question about whether Trump could actually reduce or even stop arms supplies to Ukraine, the scientist replied that this could be influenced by the Biden administration's decisions that will be made before January 20, the day Trump officially becomes president of the United States.
“The Biden administration is doing a lot right now. And they are going to use this window of time before January 20 to deliver everything they can to Ukraine and support it as much as they can. But talk about turning off the tap on January 21 is absurd. But I think he wants a pause and then a slowdown,” Janes said.
He does not rule out that Trump could then say that slowing down military support for Ukraine was a way to stop the war. At the same time, Trump, as a businessman, will approach this issue in a businesslike manner.
“He's going to see how far he can go with Putin, how far he can go with Zelensky. He's going to see how far he can go with virtually anyone involved. And eventually he's going to look around and say, 'Okay, this is the best deal I can get, and I'm going to take it.' At least that's what he thinks,” Jackson Janes concluded.
Recall that after Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election, two potential scenarios are emerging in geopolitical terms that are of great importance not only for Ukraine, but also for Europe. As the British publication The Telegraph writes, Ukraine still has a chance to win the war against Russia even without US support.
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