As soon as peace or a ceasefire comes, Russia will experience an economic crisis.
The real situation with the economy in Russia is being distorted, and after the end of the war, it will be very difficult for the Kremlin to reorient it from military production to peaceful production.
About this in an interview “Radio Liberty” was told by the former Prime Minister of Poland, member of the Sejm and former Minister of European Integration Jan Krzysztof Bielecki.
“I am convinced that we are dealing with a pseudo-success of Russia, which managed to transfer the economy, and in general the entire system of government, to the so-called military economy,” he said.
Therefore, according to the Polish expert, the plant that produced cars produces tanks, and the plant that made washing machines produces drones…
“Somewhere in Siberia, at abandoned textile factories, people have a lot of work, because a million new units of military uniforms are needed. And these small sewing enterprises suddenly revive, and people earn, for example, not 300, but even a thousand dollars and in some sense are happy that there is a war, because they earn three times more than before the war. Such activity is impossible in the long term,” the politician noted.
According to him, all this in Russia now creates the illusion that military uniforms can be sewn at those Siberian factories for the rest of their lives, but it turns out that in a year or two no one will want to buy them, and these people will be left without work again.
“As soon as peace or a ceasefire comes, it will be a big problem for Russia, how to transfer the military economy to a competitive one that can compete on the international market, and therefore some believe that Russia is becoming a Chinese vassal, on which it is very dependent, to which it sells oil and gas. If Western Europe does not want it, then our friends the Chinese will buy it,” but the Chinese are buying it at reduced prices,” Beletsky said.
“The Russian economy seems to be developing better than before the war,” however, there are nuance
Jan Krzysztof Bielecki noted that Russians also trade oil and gas with India and Turkey, but the prices are also less attractive than before the war.
“So, the Russian economy is supposedly developing better than before the war, but all this is happening in an extensive way due to low profitability. The biggest problem for Russia is how to get out of this situation in the future, because it is very difficult to get out of this war economy, time is not on their side,” said the former Polish Prime Minister.
Recall that the offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk region of the Russian Federation exceeds expectations and demonstrates that the head of the Kremlin Vladimir Putin “does not control anything.” This was stated by the head of the Bundestag Defense Committee Markus Faber.
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